99
52.63%
Wins 52.43%, ties 0.41%
KJs
47.37%
Wins 47.16%, ties 0.41%
99 against KJs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 52.430 | 0.409 | 47.161 | 52.634 |
| KJs | 47.161 | 0.409 | 52.430 | 47.366 |
Here a pocket pair (99) meets a suited hand (KJs). A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.
99 leads by less than 6 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. The tie share is 0.41%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
For context, 99 sits at number 6 of 169 starting hands and KJs at number 20 when each is run against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 21,546,000 | 168,000 | 19,381,000 |
| KJs | 19,381,000 | 168,000 | 21,546,000 |
The board total is exact, 24 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 1.111 | 1.907 | 2.120 | 0.900 |
| KJs | 0.900 | 2.120 | 1.907 | 1.111 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for 99 (77.95%); rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the worst (46.27%). The lead reverses on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better: there KJs is the favorite even though 99 is ahead overall.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | KJs wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 46.193 | 0.156 | 53.651 | 46.271 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 77.447 | 0.995 | 21.558 | 77.945 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 50.340 | 0.300 | 49.360 | 50.490 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 50.268 | 2.390 | 47.342 | 51.463 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 58.428 | 0.253 | 41.319 | 58.555 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, 99 changes by -19.43 points (baseline 72.06%) and KJs by -15.20 points (baseline 62.57%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 52.634 | 72.057 | -19.423 | 0.73045 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 46.271 | 72.057 | -25.786 | 0.64214 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 77.945 | 72.057 | +5.888 | 1.08171 |
| 99, two-tone | 50.490 | 72.057 | -21.567 | 0.70070 |
| 99, monotone | 51.463 | 72.057 | -20.594 | 0.71420 |
| 99, paired | 58.555 | 72.057 | -13.502 | 0.81262 |
| KJs, all flops | 47.366 | 62.567 | -15.201 | 0.75704 |
| KJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 53.729 | 62.567 | -8.838 | 0.85874 |
| KJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 22.055 | 62.567 | -40.512 | 0.35250 |
| KJs, two-tone | 49.510 | 62.567 | -13.057 | 0.79131 |
| KJs, monotone | 48.537 | 62.567 | -14.030 | 0.77576 |
| KJs, paired | 41.445 | 62.567 | -21.122 | 0.66241 |
Does a shared suit matter?
When the hands share a suit, 99 holds 52.79%; when they do not, it holds 52.48%. 99 does better with a shared suit, by 0.31 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | KJs wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.560 | 0.451 | 46.989 | 52.786 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.299 | 0.367 | 47.334 | 52.483 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, 99 against KJs appears in 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0015%), and in 48 when the seats are swapped too (0.0030%).
A worked example
To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. 99 is worth $105.26 on average (+$5.26); KJs is worth $94.74 (-$5.26).
Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 524 wins for 99, 472 for KJs and 4 chopped pots.
The same matchup from the other side
KJs versus 99 is this same page seen from the other hand: 47.37% for KJs, 52.63% for 99.
Keep exploring
Try 9s9h against KdJd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 24 deals of 99 against KJs fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session