TT
62.72%
Wins 61.77%, ties 1.92%
QTs
37.28%
Wins 36.31%, ties 1.92%
TT against QTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 61.765 | 1.918 | 36.317 | 62.724 |
| QTs | 36.317 | 1.918 | 61.765 | 37.276 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against a suited hand. One hand holds a card of the same rank as the pair, which removes a card the pair needs and makes the pair a bigger favorite.
That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. 1.92% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, TT is number 5 of the 169 starting hands and QTs is number 34.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 12,691,000 | 394,000 | 7,462,000 |
| QTs | 7,462,000 | 394,000 | 12,691,000 |
The total is exact: 12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 1.683 | 1.619 | 2.754 | 0.594 |
| QTs | 0.594 | 2.754 | 1.619 | 1.683 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and TT is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (79.81%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (57.59%). TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | QTs wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.011 | 56.581 | 2.026 | 41.393 | 57.594 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 78.412 | 2.793 | 18.795 | 79.809 |
| Two-tone | 46.236 | 59.163 | 2.029 | 38.808 | 60.177 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 57.839 | 2.832 | 39.329 | 59.255 |
| Paired | 17.831 | 69.082 | 0.843 | 30.075 | 69.504 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 75.01% for TT and 59.47% for QTs. This opponent changes them by -12.29 and -22.19 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 62.724 | 75.012 | -12.288 | 0.83619 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 57.594 | 75.012 | -17.418 | 0.76780 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 79.809 | 75.012 | +4.797 | 1.06395 |
| TT, two-tone | 60.177 | 75.012 | -14.835 | 0.80223 |
| TT, monotone | 59.255 | 75.012 | -15.757 | 0.78994 |
| TT, paired | 69.504 | 75.012 | -5.508 | 0.92657 |
| QTs, all flops | 37.276 | 59.468 | -22.192 | 0.62682 |
| QTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 42.406 | 59.468 | -17.062 | 0.71309 |
| QTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 20.191 | 59.468 | -39.277 | 0.33953 |
| QTs, two-tone | 39.823 | 59.468 | -19.645 | 0.66965 |
| QTs, monotone | 40.745 | 59.468 | -18.723 | 0.68516 |
| QTs, paired | 30.496 | 59.468 | -28.972 | 0.51281 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Every legal deal of TT against QTs leaves the hands with no suit in common, so the suit split does not apply here.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | QTs wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 0 | 0.00 | not possible | not possible | not possible | not possible |
| No shared suit | 12 | 100.00 | 61.765 | 1.918 | 36.317 | 62.724 |
How often this matchup comes up
TT against QTs is made up of 12 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0007% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 24 counting both seat orders, 0.0015%.
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: TT averages $125.44 back, ahead of its $100 by $25.44, while QTs averages $74.56, short of its $100 by $25.44.
Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 618 wins for TT, 363 for QTs and 19 chopped pots.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, QTs against TT, is 37.28% to 62.72%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in TsTh against QdTd, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 12 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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