77 vs QTo: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, 77 is ahead of QTo by 4.38 points of equity, 52.19% to 47.81%.

77

52.19%

Wins 51.96%, ties 0.47%

QTo

47.81%

Wins 47.57%, ties 0.47%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against QTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against QTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7751.9570.46547.57852.190
QTo47.5780.46551.95747.810

77 and QTo are a pocket pair and an offsuit hand, in that order. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

With only 4.38 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. A split pot comes up on 0.47% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, 77 is number 9 and QTo is number 47.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7764,056,000573,00058,657,000
QTo58,657,000573,00064,056,000

Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

77 against QTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.0921.9252.1020.916
QTo0.9162.1021.9251.092

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, 77's equity runs from 44.38% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better up to 78.30% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). QTo is ahead on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and monotone flops, even though it trails 77 when every flop is counted.

77 against QTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesQTo wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71744.2380.27955.48344.378
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31478.0240.55121.42578.299
Two-tone46.48550.8960.32248.78251.057
Monotone5.15148.4221.73549.84349.289
Paired17.33357.3680.70241.93057.719

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 66.24% for 77 and 57.29% for QTo. This opponent changes them by -14.05 and -9.48 points.

77 and QTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops52.19066.236-14.0460.78794
77, rainbow, ten or higher44.37866.236-21.8580.67000
77, rainbow, nine or lower78.29966.236+12.0631.18212
77, two-tone51.05766.236-15.1790.77083
77, monotone49.28966.236-16.9470.74414
77, paired57.71966.236-8.5170.87141
QTo, all flops47.81057.291-9.4810.83451
QTo, rainbow, ten or higher55.62257.291-1.6690.97087
QTo, rainbow, nine or lower21.70157.291-35.5900.37879
QTo, two-tone48.94357.291-8.3480.85429
QTo, monotone50.71157.291-6.5800.88515
QTo, paired42.28157.291-15.0100.73800

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give 77 52.10% when the hands overlap in a suit and 52.64% when they do not. 77 does better with no shared suit, by 0.54 points.

77 against QTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesQTo wins77 equity
Share a suit6083.3351.8600.48047.66052.100
No shared suit1216.6752.4460.38647.16852.639

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 72 are 77 in one seat and QTo in the other (0.0044%); with the seats swapped too, 144 (0.0089%).

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, 77's average share is $104.38 (a gain of $4.38) and QTo's is $95.62 (a loss of $4.38).

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 519 won outright by 77, about 476 won outright by QTo and about 5 split.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, QTo against 77, shows 47.81% for QTo and 52.19% for 77. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Open the calculator with 7s7h against QdTc already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 72 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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