99
81.62%
Wins 81.31%, ties 0.63%
87s
18.38%
Wins 18.06%, ties 0.63%
99 against 87s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 81.308 | 0.625 | 18.067 | 81.621 |
| 87s | 18.067 | 0.625 | 81.308 | 18.379 |
99 and 87s are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. A pair against two lower cards is a lopsided matchup: the pair is ahead and the other hand has no overcard to catch.
This is one of the lopsided matchups: 87s wins only 18.06% of the boards outright. Of every 100 boards, about 0.63 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
The hand ranking puts 99 at 6 and 87s at 100 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 33,414,000 | 257,000 | 7,425,000 |
| 87s | 7,425,000 | 257,000 | 33,414,000 |
Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 4.441 | 1.230 | 5.535 | 0.225 |
| 87s | 0.225 | 5.535 | 1.230 | 4.441 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
99 prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 85.47%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 73.70%. 99 stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | 87s wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.844 | 85.283 | 0.383 | 14.334 | 85.474 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.065 | 73.528 | 0.345 | 26.127 | 73.701 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 79.665 | 0.354 | 19.981 | 79.842 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 74.313 | 2.446 | 23.241 | 75.536 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 84.170 | 1.250 | 14.580 | 84.795 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts 99 from 72.06% by +9.56 points and 87s from 47.94% by -29.56 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 81.621 | 72.057 | +9.564 | 1.13273 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 85.474 | 72.057 | +13.417 | 1.18620 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 73.701 | 72.057 | +1.644 | 1.02282 |
| 99, two-tone | 79.842 | 72.057 | +7.785 | 1.10804 |
| 99, monotone | 75.536 | 72.057 | +3.479 | 1.04828 |
| 99, paired | 84.795 | 72.057 | +12.738 | 1.17678 |
| 87s, all flops | 18.379 | 47.936 | -29.557 | 0.38341 |
| 87s, rainbow, ten or higher | 14.526 | 47.936 | -33.410 | 0.30303 |
| 87s, rainbow, nine or lower | 26.299 | 47.936 | -21.637 | 0.54863 |
| 87s, two-tone | 20.158 | 47.936 | -27.778 | 0.42052 |
| 87s, monotone | 24.464 | 47.936 | -23.472 | 0.51035 |
| 87s, paired | 15.205 | 47.936 | -32.731 | 0.31719 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Of the deals of this matchup, 12 share a suit (99 at 82.18%) and 12 do not (81.06%). 99 does better with a shared suit, by 1.12 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | 87s wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 81.844 | 0.667 | 17.489 | 82.178 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 80.772 | 0.584 | 18.644 | 81.064 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 24 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0015% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 48, or 0.0030%.
A worked example
Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. 99's equity of 81.62% is worth $163.24, a $63.24 edge, and 87s' 18.38% is worth $36.76, which is $63.24 under its stake.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 813 won outright by 99, about 181 won outright by 87s and about 6 split.
The same matchup from the other side
One page covers both views. From 87s' side the equity is 18.38%, and from 99's side it is 81.62%.
Keep exploring
Try 9s9h against 8d7d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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