99 vs A6s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, 99 is ahead of A6s by 35.16 points of equity, 67.58% to 32.42%.

99

67.58%

Wins 67.39%, ties 0.38%

A6s

32.42%

Wins 32.23%, ties 0.38%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

99 against A6s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 99 against A6s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
9967.3890.38432.22767.581
A6s32.2270.38467.38932.419

The first hand is a pocket pair; the second is a suited hand. The pair sits between the other hand's two cards: one is higher and one is lower, so the pair is exposed to the higher card.

That is a clear edge, 67.58% to 32.42%, but A6s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Ties are 0.38% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

For context, 99 sits at number 6 of 169 starting hands and A6s at number 31 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
9927,694,000158,00013,244,000
A6s13,244,000158,00027,694,000

The board total is exact, 24 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

99 against A6s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
992.0851.4843.1030.480
A6s0.4803.1031.4842.085

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and 99 is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (79.21%) and weakest on monotone flops (63.27%). 99 stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

99 against A6s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops99 winsTiesA6s wins99 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22066.9440.16532.89167.026
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68978.8070.79720.39679.205
Two-tone46.54565.8670.26133.87265.997
Monotone5.21262.0892.36835.54363.273
Paired17.33469.9730.30129.72670.123

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, 99 holds 72.06% and A6s holds 59.91%. Facing each other changes that by -4.48 points for 99 and -27.49 points for A6s.

99 and A6s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
99, all flops67.58172.057-4.4760.93788
99, rainbow, ten or higher67.02672.057-5.0310.93018
99, rainbow, nine or lower79.20572.057+7.1481.09920
99, two-tone65.99772.057-6.0600.91590
99, monotone63.27372.057-8.7840.87810
99, paired70.12372.057-1.9340.97316
A6s, all flops32.41959.906-27.4870.54116
A6s, rainbow, ten or higher32.97459.906-26.9320.55043
A6s, rainbow, nine or lower20.79559.906-39.1110.34713
A6s, two-tone34.00359.906-25.9030.56761
A6s, monotone36.72759.906-23.1790.61308
A6s, paired29.87759.906-30.0290.49873

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and 99 holds 67.88%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 67.29%. 99 does better with a shared suit, by 0.59 points.

99 against A6s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals99 winsTiesA6s wins99 equity
Share a suit1250.0067.6610.42831.91167.875
No shared suit1250.0067.1170.34132.54267.288

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 24 specific-card matchups (0.0015% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 48 once you count the seats both ways (0.0030%).

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. 99 averages $135.16 from the $200, up $35.16; A6s averages $64.84, down $35.16.

Think in thousands: about 674 of 1,000 go to 99, about 322 go to A6s, and about 4 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, A6s against 99, shows 32.42% for A6s and 67.58% for 99. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Try 9s9h against Ad6d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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