A5s vs A2s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, A5s is ahead of A2s by 10.86 points of equity, 55.43% to 44.57%.

A5s

55.43%

Wins 35.99%, ties 38.88%

A2s

44.57%

Wins 25.13%, ties 38.88%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A5s against A2s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A5s against A2s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A5s35.99438.87525.13155.431
A2s25.13138.87535.99444.569

Each side holds one of the suited hands: A5s and A2s. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

A5s is ahead, but A2s is far from dead: it takes 251 of every 1,000 deals outright. The tie share is 38.88%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

A5s ranks number 30 of 169 starting hands, and A2s ranks number 46, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A5s7,396,0007,988,0005,164,000
A2s5,164,0007,988,0007,396,000

The total is exact: 12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

A5s against A2s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A5s1.2442.7783.9790.804
A2s0.8043.9792.7781.244

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and A5s is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (60.86%) and weakest on paired flops (52.72%). A5s stays ahead on all five textures.

A5s against A2s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA5s winsTiesA2s winsA5s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.52633.43944.06822.49355.473
Rainbow, nine or lower6.38349.44222.83627.72260.860
Two-tone46.54338.46934.64926.88255.794
Monotone5.21540.75427.22632.02054.367
Paired17.33326.57552.28821.13752.719

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, A5s changes by -4.49 points (baseline 59.92%) and A2s by -12.81 points (baseline 57.38%).

A5s and A2s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A5s, all flops55.43159.923-4.4920.92504
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher55.47359.923-4.4500.92574
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower60.86059.923+0.9371.01564
A5s, two-tone55.79459.923-4.1290.93109
A5s, monotone54.36759.923-5.5560.90728
A5s, paired52.71959.923-7.2040.87978
A2s, all flops44.56957.379-12.8100.77675
A2s, rainbow, ten or higher44.52757.379-12.8520.77602
A2s, rainbow, nine or lower39.14057.379-18.2390.68213
A2s, two-tone44.20657.379-13.1730.77042
A2s, monotone45.63357.379-11.7460.79529
A2s, paired47.28157.379-10.0980.82401

Does a shared suit matter?

Every legal deal of A5s against A2s leaves the hands with no suit in common, so the suit split does not apply here.

A5s against A2s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA5s winsTiesA2s winsA5s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0035.99438.87525.13155.431

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 12 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0007% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 24, or 0.0015%.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. A5s averages $110.86 from the $200, up $10.86; A2s averages $89.14, down $10.86.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 360 won outright by A5s, about 251 won outright by A2s and about 389 split.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for A2s against A5s, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 44.57% and 55.43%.

As5s against Ah2h is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 12 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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