A5s vs JTs: preflop equity

If A5s and JTs get all the chips in before the flop, A5s owns 54.48% of the pot in the long run and JTs owns 45.52%.

A5s

54.48%

Wins 54.23%, ties 0.51%

JTs

45.52%

Wins 45.26%, ties 0.51%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A5s against JTs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A5s against JTs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A5s54.2300.50645.26454.483
JTs45.2640.50654.23045.517

Two suited hands meet here: A5s against JTs. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

This is close to even money, with A5s a little ahead. 0.51% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

For context, A5s sits at number 30 of 169 starting hands and JTs at number 45 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A5s14,857,000139,00012,401,000
JTs12,401,000139,00014,857,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

A5s against JTs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A5s1.1971.8442.2090.835
JTs0.8352.2091.8441.197

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

A5s prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 68.36%, and likes rainbow flops topped by a ten or better least, where it holds 48.93%. Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better favor JTs, the hand that is behind overall.

A5s against JTs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA5s winsTiesJTs winsA5s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86748.8520.15650.99248.930
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04267.9790.75431.26768.356
Two-tone46.72753.0970.26746.63653.231
Monotone5.27350.8443.42845.72852.558
Paired17.09160.2190.64139.14060.539

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, A5s changes by -5.44 points (baseline 59.92%) and JTs by -12.01 points (baseline 57.53%).

A5s and JTs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A5s, all flops54.48359.923-5.4400.90922
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher48.93059.923-10.9930.81655
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower68.35659.923+8.4331.14073
A5s, two-tone53.23159.923-6.6920.88832
A5s, monotone52.55859.923-7.3650.87709
A5s, paired60.53959.923+0.6161.01028
JTs, all flops45.51757.528-12.0110.79121
JTs, rainbow, ten or higher51.07057.528-6.4580.88774
JTs, rainbow, nine or lower31.64457.528-25.8840.55006
JTs, two-tone46.76957.528-10.7590.81298
JTs, monotone47.44257.528-10.0860.82468
JTs, paired39.46157.528-18.0670.68594

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? A5s has 56.07% when the hands share a suit and 53.95% when they do not. A5s does better with a shared suit, by 2.12 points.

A5s against JTs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA5s winsTiesJTs winsA5s equity
Share a suit425.0055.7780.58643.63656.071
No shared suit1275.0053.7140.47945.80753.954

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0020% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 32 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: A5s averages $108.96 back, ahead of its $100 by $8.96, while JTs averages $91.04, short of its $100 by $8.96.

Think in thousands: about 542 of 1,000 go to A5s, about 453 go to JTs, and about 5 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get JTs with 45.52% against A5s with 54.48%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

As5s against JhTh is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 16 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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