A9s vs 65s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, A9s takes 61.20% of the pot on average and 65s takes the other 38.80%.

A9s

61.20%

Wins 60.94%, ties 0.51%

65s

38.80%

Wins 38.55%, ties 0.51%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9s against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9s against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9s60.9400.51238.54861.196
65s38.5480.51260.94038.804

This is a contest between two suited hands, A9s and 65s. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

A 22.40 point lead is real, and 65s still takes about 386 of every 1,000 deals outright. A split pot comes up on 0.51% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

A9s ranks number 18 of 169 starting hands, and 65s ranks number 128, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9s16,696,000140,00010,561,000
65s10,561,000140,00016,696,000

16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A9s against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9s1.5771.6412.5940.634
65s0.6342.5941.6411.577

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. A9s does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 65.42%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 41.77%. 65s takes over on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.

A9s against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9s winsTies65s winsA9s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22065.3140.21034.47665.419
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68941.4350.67057.89541.770
Two-tone46.72760.2310.26839.50160.365
Monotone5.27356.9223.46339.61558.654
Paired17.09164.1550.66535.18064.487

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts A9s from 62.78% by -1.58 points and 65s from 43.13% by -4.33 points.

A9s and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9s, all flops61.19662.781-1.5850.97475
A9s, rainbow, ten or higher65.41962.781+2.6381.04202
A9s, rainbow, nine or lower41.77062.781-21.0110.66533
A9s, two-tone60.36562.781-2.4160.96152
A9s, monotone58.65462.781-4.1270.93426
A9s, paired64.48762.781+1.7061.02717
65s, all flops38.80443.133-4.3290.89964
65s, rainbow, ten or higher34.58143.133-8.5520.80173
65s, rainbow, nine or lower58.23043.133+15.0971.35001
65s, two-tone39.63543.133-3.4980.91890
65s, monotone41.34643.133-1.7870.95857
65s, paired35.51343.133-7.6200.82334

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common A9s has 63.33% equity, and with none in common it has 60.49%. A9s does better with a shared suit, by 2.84 points.

A9s against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9s winsTies65s winsA9s equity
Share a suit425.0063.0340.59036.37663.329
No shared suit1275.0060.2420.48639.27260.485

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 16 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0010% of 1,624,350, and 32 (0.0020%) in either order.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says A9s gets $122.40 of it on average and 65s gets $77.60.

Per 1,000 deals: A9s wins about 609, 65s wins about 386, and about 5 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get 65s with 38.80% against A9s with 61.20%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

As9s against 6h5h is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 16 specific A9s against 65s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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