AA vs 77: preflop equity

Before any board card is dealt, AA holds 80.48% equity against 77, which leaves 77 with 19.52%.

AA

80.48%

Wins 80.31%, ties 0.34%

77

19.52%

Wins 19.35%, ties 0.34%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AA against 77: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AA against 77, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AA80.3120.33719.35180.481
7719.3510.33780.31219.519

Two pocket pairs meet here: AA against 77. Two pairs against each other is a one-way street: the lower pair needs one of its two remaining cards.

A gap this wide means 77 is in trouble before the flop and has few good runouts. The tie share is 0.34%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, AA is number 1 and 77 is number 9.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AA49,507,000208,00011,929,000
7711,929,000208,00049,507,000

36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

AA against 77 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AA4.1231.2455.1680.243
770.2435.1681.2454.123

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Paired flops are the best for AA (86.42%); low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the worst (66.64%). AA stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AA against 77 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAA winsTies77 winsAA equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59583.1010.23216.66783.217
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31466.2920.69333.01566.639
Two-tone46.36379.1260.31420.56079.283
Monotone5.15274.0481.72224.23074.909
Paired17.57686.4140.00713.57986.417

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 85.20% for AA, 66.24% for 77. Here the change is -4.72 and -46.72 points.

AA and 77 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AA, all flops80.48185.204-4.7230.94457
AA, rainbow, ten or higher83.21785.204-1.9870.97668
AA, rainbow, nine or lower66.63985.204-18.5650.78211
AA, two-tone79.28385.204-5.9210.93051
AA, monotone74.90985.204-10.2950.87917
AA, paired86.41785.204+1.2131.01424
77, all flops19.51966.236-46.7170.29469
77, rainbow, ten or higher16.78366.236-49.4530.25338
77, rainbow, nine or lower33.36166.236-32.8750.50367
77, two-tone20.71766.236-45.5190.31278
77, monotone25.09166.236-41.1450.37881
77, paired13.58366.236-52.6530.20507

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 80.61% for AA with a shared suit and 79.82% without one. AA does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.

AA against 77 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAA winsTies77 winsAA equity
Share a suit3083.3380.4360.35319.21180.612
No shared suit616.6779.6940.25720.04979.823

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 36 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0022% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 72, or 0.0044%.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AA takes back $160.96 of it, which is $60.96 more than it put in, and 77 takes back $39.04, $60.96 less than it put in.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 803 wins for AA, 194 for 77 and 3 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

77 against AA adds nothing new: it is 19.52% for 77 and 80.48% for AA, the same figures reversed.

AsAh against 7d7c is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 36 ways to deal one AA and one 77 without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session