AA
78.99%
Wins 78.81%, ties 0.35%
T8s
21.01%
Wins 20.84%, ties 0.35%
AA against T8s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 78.811 | 0.351 | 20.838 | 78.986 |
| T8s | 20.838 | 0.351 | 78.811 | 21.014 |
One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. Here a pair faces two cards that are both smaller, so the other hand needs to pair up and still be behind.
A lead of 57.98 points is large but not decisive: T8s still takes about 208 of every 1,000 deals. The tie share is 0.35%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, AA is number 1 of the 169 starting hands and T8s is number 73.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 32,388,000 | 144,000 | 8,563,000 |
| T8s | 8,563,000 | 144,000 | 32,388,000 |
Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 3.759 | 1.269 | 4.799 | 0.266 |
| T8s | 0.266 | 4.799 | 1.269 | 3.759 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
AA prefers paired flops, where it holds 83.12%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 73.68%. AA stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AA wins | Ties | T8s wins | AA equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 80.801 | 0.187 | 19.012 | 80.895 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 78.762 | 0.687 | 20.551 | 79.106 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 76.901 | 0.284 | 22.815 | 77.043 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 72.486 | 2.391 | 25.123 | 73.681 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 83.118 | 0.007 | 16.875 | 83.122 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 85.20% for AA and 52.33% for T8s. This opponent changes them by -6.21 and -31.32 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA, all flops | 78.986 | 85.204 | -6.218 | 0.92702 |
| AA, rainbow, ten or higher | 80.895 | 85.204 | -4.309 | 0.94943 |
| AA, rainbow, nine or lower | 79.106 | 85.204 | -6.098 | 0.92843 |
| AA, two-tone | 77.043 | 85.204 | -8.161 | 0.90422 |
| AA, monotone | 73.681 | 85.204 | -11.523 | 0.86476 |
| AA, paired | 83.122 | 85.204 | -2.082 | 0.97556 |
| T8s, all flops | 21.014 | 52.334 | -31.320 | 0.40154 |
| T8s, rainbow, ten or higher | 19.105 | 52.334 | -33.229 | 0.36506 |
| T8s, rainbow, nine or lower | 20.894 | 52.334 | -31.440 | 0.39924 |
| T8s, two-tone | 22.957 | 52.334 | -29.377 | 0.43866 |
| T8s, monotone | 26.319 | 52.334 | -26.015 | 0.50290 |
| T8s, paired | 16.878 | 52.334 | -35.456 | 0.32251 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 79.56% for AA with a shared suit and 78.41% without one. AA does better with a shared suit, by 1.15 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AA wins | Ties | T8s wins | AA equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 79.364 | 0.393 | 20.243 | 79.560 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 78.258 | 0.309 | 21.433 | 78.412 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 24 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0015% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 48, or 0.0030%.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says AA gets $157.98 of it on average and T8s gets $42.02.
Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 788 wins for AA, 208 for T8s and 4 chopped pots.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: T8s against AA is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so T8s holds 21.01% and AA holds 78.99%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Try AsAh against Td8d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific AA against T8s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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