AJs
61.81%
Wins 61.57%, ties 0.48%
KQo
38.19%
Wins 37.95%, ties 0.48%
AJs against KQo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 61.569 | 0.484 | 37.947 | 61.811 |
| KQo | 37.947 | 0.484 | 61.569 | 38.189 |
The first hand is a suited hand; the second is an offsuit hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. The tie share is 0.48%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, AJs is number 11 of the 169 starting hands and KQo is number 23.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 50,604,000 | 398,000 | 31,189,000 |
| KQo | 31,189,000 | 398,000 | 50,604,000 |
The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 1.619 | 1.624 | 2.635 | 0.618 |
| KQo | 0.618 | 2.635 | 1.624 | 1.619 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, AJs peaks at 76.88% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 54.75% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AJs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | AJs wins | Ties | KQo wins | AJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 54.713 | 0.071 | 45.216 | 54.749 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.770 | 76.282 | 1.187 | 22.531 | 76.875 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 61.412 | 0.317 | 38.271 | 61.571 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 56.671 | 2.395 | 40.934 | 57.869 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 66.131 | 0.600 | 33.269 | 66.431 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, AJs changes by -3.58 points (baseline 65.39%) and KQo by -23.27 points (baseline 61.46%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs, all flops | 61.811 | 65.393 | -3.582 | 0.94522 |
| AJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 54.749 | 65.393 | -10.644 | 0.83723 |
| AJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 76.875 | 65.393 | +11.482 | 1.17558 |
| AJs, two-tone | 61.571 | 65.393 | -3.822 | 0.94155 |
| AJs, monotone | 57.869 | 65.393 | -7.524 | 0.88494 |
| AJs, paired | 66.431 | 65.393 | +1.038 | 1.01587 |
| KQo, all flops | 38.189 | 61.456 | -23.267 | 0.62140 |
| KQo, rainbow, ten or higher | 45.251 | 61.456 | -16.205 | 0.73632 |
| KQo, rainbow, nine or lower | 23.125 | 61.456 | -38.331 | 0.37629 |
| KQo, two-tone | 38.429 | 61.456 | -23.027 | 0.62531 |
| KQo, monotone | 42.131 | 61.456 | -19.325 | 0.68555 |
| KQo, paired | 33.569 | 61.456 | -27.887 | 0.54623 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, AJs has 61.52%; looking only at deals where they do not, 62.11%. AJs does better with no shared suit, by 0.59 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AJs wins | Ties | KQo wins | AJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 61.255 | 0.524 | 38.221 | 61.517 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 61.883 | 0.444 | 37.673 | 62.105 |
How often this matchup comes up
AJs against KQo is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: AJs averages $123.62 back, ahead of its $100 by $23.62, while KQo averages $76.38, short of its $100 by $23.62.
A thousand deals look like this: AJs takes 616, KQo takes 379, 5 are ties.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, KQo against AJs, shows 38.19% for KQo and 61.81% for AJs. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with AsJs against KhQd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 48 specific AJs against KQo deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session