AKo vs KQo: preflop equity

If AKo and KQo get all the chips in before the flop, AKo owns 74.77% of the pot in the long run and KQo owns 25.23%.

AKo

74.77%

Wins 74.20%, ties 1.16%

KQo

25.23%

Wins 24.64%, ties 1.16%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKo against KQo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKo against KQo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKo74.1961.15624.64874.774
KQo24.6481.15674.19625.226

This is a contest between two offsuit hands, AKo and KQo. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

AKo is the clear favorite, though KQo gets there on roughly one board in 4. Ties are 1.16% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

Place 12 of 169 belongs to AKo and place 23 belongs to KQo in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKo137,210,0002,138,00045,581,000
KQo45,581,0002,138,000137,210,000

108 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

AKo against KQo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKo2.9641.3484.0570.337
KQo0.3374.0571.3482.964

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and AKo is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (86.68%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (70.47%). AKo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AKo against KQo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKo winsTiesKQo winsAKo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.27570.0810.78529.13470.474
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77186.0031.35612.64186.681
Two-tone46.47773.6830.89425.42374.130
Monotone5.14469.7751.99428.23170.772
Paired17.33377.1152.02020.86578.125

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts AKo from 65.32% by +9.45 points and KQo from 61.46% by -36.23 points.

AKo and KQo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKo, all flops74.77465.320+9.4541.14473
AKo, rainbow, ten or higher70.47465.320+5.1541.07890
AKo, rainbow, nine or lower86.68165.320+21.3611.32702
AKo, two-tone74.13065.320+8.8101.13487
AKo, monotone70.77265.320+5.4521.08347
AKo, paired78.12565.320+12.8051.19603
KQo, all flops25.22661.456-36.2300.41047
KQo, rainbow, ten or higher29.52661.456-31.9300.48044
KQo, rainbow, nine or lower13.31961.456-48.1370.21672
KQo, two-tone25.87061.456-35.5860.42095
KQo, monotone29.22861.456-32.2280.47559
KQo, paired21.87561.456-39.5810.35595

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? AKo has 74.95% when the hands share a suit and 74.17% when they do not. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 0.78 points.

AKo against KQo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKo winsTiesKQo winsAKo equity
Share a suit8477.7874.3581.17824.46474.947
No shared suit2422.2273.6281.08025.29274.168

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, AKo against KQo appears in 108 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0066%), and in 216 when the seats are swapped too (0.0133%).

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AKo's average share is $149.54 (a gain of $49.54) and KQo's is $50.46 (a loss of $49.54).

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 742 for AKo, 246 for KQo and 12 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

KQo versus AKo is this same page seen from the other hand: 25.23% for KQo, 74.77% for AKo.

Try AsKh against KdQc in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 108 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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