AKo vs A7s: preflop equity

The exact count puts AKo at 69.41% and A7s at 30.59% when the two hands see all five board cards.

AKo

69.41%

Wins 67.15%, ties 4.52%

A7s

30.59%

Wins 28.33%, ties 4.52%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKo against A7s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKo against A7s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKo67.1504.51728.33369.409
A7s28.3334.51767.15030.591

AKo is an offsuit hand and A7s is a suited hand. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

AKo is the clear favorite, though A7s gets there on roughly one board in 3. About 4.52% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, AKo is number 12 of the 169 starting hands and A7s is number 24.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKo41,393,0002,784,00017,465,000
A7s17,465,0002,784,00041,393,000

The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AKo against A7s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKo2.2691.4893.5290.441
A7s0.4413.5291.4892.269

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AKo holds 76.64% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 55.83% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AKo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AKo against A7s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKo winsTiesA7s winsAKo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.90575.4122.46522.12376.644
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04253.6564.33842.00655.825
Two-tone46.52766.7902.71430.49668.147
Monotone5.19262.1194.01733.86464.128
Paired17.33463.71412.40523.88169.916

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give AKo 65.32% and A7s 60.98%. Against each other the change is +4.09 points for AKo and -30.39 for A7s.

AKo and A7s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKo, all flops69.40965.320+4.0891.06260
AKo, rainbow, ten or higher76.64465.320+11.3241.17336
AKo, rainbow, nine or lower55.82565.320-9.4950.85464
AKo, two-tone68.14765.320+2.8271.04328
AKo, monotone64.12865.320-1.1920.98175
AKo, paired69.91665.320+4.5961.07036
A7s, all flops30.59160.984-30.3930.50162
A7s, rainbow, ten or higher23.35660.984-37.6280.38299
A7s, rainbow, nine or lower44.17560.984-16.8090.72437
A7s, two-tone31.85360.984-29.1310.52232
A7s, monotone35.87260.984-25.1120.58822
A7s, paired30.08460.984-30.9000.49331

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, AKo has 70.24%; looking only at deals where they do not, 68.99%. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 1.25 points.

AKo against A7s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKo winsTiesA7s winsAKo equity
Share a suit1233.3367.9434.59627.46170.241
No shared suit2466.6766.7544.47728.76968.993

How often this matchup comes up

AKo against A7s is made up of 36 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0022% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 72 counting both seat orders, 0.0044%.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. AKo is worth $138.82 on average (+$38.82); A7s is worth $61.18 (-$38.82).

A thousand deals look like this: AKo takes 672, A7s takes 283, 45 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get A7s with 30.59% against AKo with 69.41%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

Open the calculator with AsKh against Ad7d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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