AKo
60.33%
Wins 60.11%, ties 0.44%
98s
39.67%
Wins 39.45%, ties 0.44%
AKo against 98s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 60.110 | 0.437 | 39.453 | 60.329 |
| 98s | 39.453 | 0.437 | 60.110 | 39.671 |
Here an offsuit hand (AKo) meets a suited hand (98s). Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Of every 100 boards, about 0.44 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
Among the 169 starting hands, AKo is number 12 and 98s is number 83 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 49,405,000 | 359,000 | 32,427,000 |
| 98s | 32,427,000 | 359,000 | 49,405,000 |
48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 1.521 | 1.664 | 2.535 | 0.658 |
| 98s | 0.658 | 2.535 | 1.664 | 1.521 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures AKo's equity moves by 29.65 points, from 38.04% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 67.69% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. The lead reverses on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): there 98s is the favorite even though AKo is ahead overall.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKo wins | Ties | 98s wins | AKo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 67.608 | 0.163 | 32.229 | 67.690 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.313 | 37.678 | 0.723 | 61.599 | 38.039 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 58.650 | 0.259 | 41.091 | 58.780 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 57.296 | 2.369 | 40.335 | 58.481 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 62.399 | 0.624 | 36.977 | 62.711 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -4.99 points for AKo, from 65.32%, and -11.13 for 98s, from 50.80%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo, all flops | 60.329 | 65.320 | -4.991 | 0.92359 |
| AKo, rainbow, ten or higher | 67.690 | 65.320 | +2.370 | 1.03628 |
| AKo, rainbow, nine or lower | 38.039 | 65.320 | -27.281 | 0.58235 |
| AKo, two-tone | 58.780 | 65.320 | -6.540 | 0.89988 |
| AKo, monotone | 58.481 | 65.320 | -6.839 | 0.89530 |
| AKo, paired | 62.711 | 65.320 | -2.609 | 0.96006 |
| 98s, all flops | 39.671 | 50.801 | -11.130 | 0.78091 |
| 98s, rainbow, ten or higher | 32.310 | 50.801 | -18.491 | 0.63601 |
| 98s, rainbow, nine or lower | 61.961 | 50.801 | +11.160 | 1.21968 |
| 98s, two-tone | 41.220 | 50.801 | -9.581 | 0.81140 |
| 98s, monotone | 41.519 | 50.801 | -9.282 | 0.81729 |
| 98s, paired | 37.289 | 50.801 | -13.512 | 0.73402 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common AKo has 61.04% equity, and with none in common it has 59.62%. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 1.42 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKo wins | Ties | 98s wins | AKo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 60.802 | 0.478 | 38.720 | 61.041 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 59.419 | 0.396 | 40.185 | 59.617 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 48 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0030% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 96, or 0.0059%.
A worked example
Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. AKo's equity of 60.33% is worth $120.66, a $20.66 edge, and 98s' 39.67% is worth $79.34, which is $20.66 under its stake.
Per 1,000 deals: AKo wins about 601, 98s wins about 395, and about 4 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, 98s against AKo, is 39.67% to 60.33%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
Try AsKh against 9d8d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Method: exact enumeration. The 48 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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