AKs
69.82%
Wins 67.66%, ties 4.31%
A5s
30.18%
Wins 28.03%, ties 4.31%
AKs against A5s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 67.661 | 4.311 | 28.028 | 69.817 |
| A5s | 28.028 | 4.311 | 67.661 | 30.183 |
AKs meets A5s, and both are suited hands. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.
AKs is well ahead, and A5s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. A split pot comes up on 4.31% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, AKs is number 8 of the 169 starting hands and A5s is number 30.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 13,903,000 | 886,000 | 5,759,000 |
| A5s | 5,759,000 | 886,000 | 13,903,000 |
The total is exact: 12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 2.313 | 1.478 | 3.568 | 0.432 |
| A5s | 0.432 | 3.568 | 1.478 | 2.313 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. AKs does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 76.77%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 54.17%. AKs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | A5s wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 75.575 | 2.392 | 22.033 | 76.771 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 52.125 | 4.083 | 43.792 | 54.166 |
| Two-tone | 46.543 | 67.710 | 2.499 | 29.791 | 68.960 |
| Monotone | 5.215 | 61.493 | 4.539 | 33.968 | 63.763 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 64.801 | 11.845 | 23.354 | 70.724 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, AKs holds 67.05% and A5s holds 59.92%. Facing each other changes that by +2.77 points for AKs and -29.74 points for A5s.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs, all flops | 69.817 | 67.045 | +2.772 | 1.04135 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 76.771 | 67.045 | +9.726 | 1.14507 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 54.166 | 67.045 | -12.879 | 0.80791 |
| AKs, two-tone | 68.960 | 67.045 | +1.915 | 1.02856 |
| AKs, monotone | 63.763 | 67.045 | -3.282 | 0.95105 |
| AKs, paired | 70.724 | 67.045 | +3.679 | 1.05487 |
| A5s, all flops | 30.183 | 59.923 | -29.740 | 0.50370 |
| A5s, rainbow, ten or higher | 23.229 | 59.923 | -36.694 | 0.38765 |
| A5s, rainbow, nine or lower | 45.834 | 59.923 | -14.089 | 0.76488 |
| A5s, two-tone | 31.040 | 59.923 | -28.883 | 0.51800 |
| A5s, monotone | 36.237 | 59.923 | -23.686 | 0.60473 |
| A5s, paired | 29.276 | 59.923 | -30.647 | 0.48856 |
Does a shared suit matter?
These two classes cannot share a suit in any legal deal, so there is only one row to read: AKs holds 69.82% in every deal of this matchup.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | A5s wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 0 | 0.00 | not possible | not possible | not possible | not possible |
| No shared suit | 12 | 100.00 | 67.661 | 4.311 | 28.028 | 69.817 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 12 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0007% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 24, or 0.0015%.
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AKs takes back $139.64 of it, which is $39.64 more than it put in, and A5s takes back $60.36, $39.64 less than it put in.
Think in thousands: about 677 of 1,000 go to AKs, about 280 go to A5s, and about 43 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
A5s against AKs adds nothing new: it is 30.18% for A5s and 69.82% for AKs, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
Try AsKs against Ah5h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 12 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session