AKs
63.24%
Wins 62.99%, ties 0.50%
J9s
36.76%
Wins 36.51%, ties 0.50%
AKs against J9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 62.985 | 0.501 | 36.514 | 63.235 |
| J9s | 36.514 | 0.501 | 62.985 | 36.765 |
AKs and J9s are both suited hands. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
AKs is ahead, but J9s is far from dead: it takes 365 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.50% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
The hand ranking puts AKs at 8 and J9s at 55 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 17,256,000 | 137,000 | 10,004,000 |
| J9s | 10,004,000 | 137,000 | 17,256,000 |
Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 1.720 | 1.588 | 2.739 | 0.581 |
| J9s | 0.581 | 2.739 | 1.588 | 1.720 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, AKs' equity runs from 56.92% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 65.49% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AKs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | J9s wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 65.428 | 0.119 | 34.453 | 65.488 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 56.457 | 0.916 | 42.627 | 56.915 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 62.432 | 0.265 | 37.303 | 62.565 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 58.621 | 3.413 | 37.966 | 60.328 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 65.117 | 0.612 | 34.271 | 65.423 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 67.05%, AKs changes by -3.81 points, and J9s, from 55.66%, by -18.90.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs, all flops | 63.235 | 67.045 | -3.810 | 0.94317 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 65.488 | 67.045 | -1.557 | 0.97678 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 56.915 | 67.045 | -10.130 | 0.84891 |
| AKs, two-tone | 62.565 | 67.045 | -4.480 | 0.93318 |
| AKs, monotone | 60.328 | 67.045 | -6.717 | 0.89981 |
| AKs, paired | 65.423 | 67.045 | -1.622 | 0.97581 |
| J9s, all flops | 36.765 | 55.662 | -18.897 | 0.66050 |
| J9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 34.512 | 55.662 | -21.150 | 0.62003 |
| J9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 43.085 | 55.662 | -12.577 | 0.77405 |
| J9s, two-tone | 37.435 | 55.662 | -18.227 | 0.67254 |
| J9s, monotone | 39.672 | 55.662 | -15.990 | 0.71273 |
| J9s, paired | 34.577 | 55.662 | -21.085 | 0.62120 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 65.60% for AKs with a shared suit and 62.45% without one. AKs does better with a shared suit, by 3.15 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | J9s wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 65.309 | 0.580 | 34.111 | 65.599 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 62.210 | 0.475 | 37.315 | 62.447 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 16 specific-card matchups (0.0010% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 32 once you count the seats both ways (0.0020%).
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. AKs averages $126.48 from the $200, up $26.48; J9s averages $73.52, down $26.48.
Per 1,000 deals: AKs wins about 630, J9s wins about 365, and about 5 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, J9s against AKs, shows 36.76% for J9s and 63.24% for AKs. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try AsKs against Jh9h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 16 specific AKs against J9s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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