AKs
63.22%
Wins 62.97%, ties 0.51%
QTs
36.78%
Wins 36.52%, ties 0.51%
AKs against QTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 62.966 | 0.514 | 36.520 | 63.223 |
| QTs | 36.520 | 0.514 | 62.966 | 36.777 |
Both hands are suited hands: AKs and QTs. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Ties are part of the picture: 0.51% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, AKs is number 8 and QTs is number 34.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 17,251,000 | 141,000 | 10,005,000 |
| QTs | 10,005,000 | 141,000 | 17,251,000 |
Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 1.719 | 1.588 | 2.738 | 0.582 |
| QTs | 0.582 | 2.738 | 1.588 | 1.719 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, AKs' equity runs from 60.21% on monotone flops up to 72.58% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AKs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | QTs wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 60.414 | 0.108 | 39.478 | 60.468 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 72.095 | 0.960 | 26.945 | 72.575 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 62.371 | 0.280 | 37.349 | 62.511 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 58.503 | 3.418 | 38.079 | 60.212 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 65.274 | 0.604 | 34.122 | 65.576 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 67.05% for AKs and 59.47% for QTs. This opponent changes them by -3.83 and -22.69 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs, all flops | 63.223 | 67.045 | -3.822 | 0.94299 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 60.468 | 67.045 | -6.577 | 0.90190 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 72.575 | 67.045 | +5.530 | 1.08248 |
| AKs, two-tone | 62.511 | 67.045 | -4.534 | 0.93237 |
| AKs, monotone | 60.212 | 67.045 | -6.833 | 0.89808 |
| AKs, paired | 65.576 | 67.045 | -1.469 | 0.97809 |
| QTs, all flops | 36.777 | 59.468 | -22.691 | 0.61843 |
| QTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 39.532 | 59.468 | -19.936 | 0.66476 |
| QTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 27.425 | 59.468 | -32.043 | 0.46117 |
| QTs, two-tone | 37.489 | 59.468 | -21.979 | 0.63041 |
| QTs, monotone | 39.788 | 59.468 | -19.680 | 0.66907 |
| QTs, paired | 34.424 | 59.468 | -25.044 | 0.57887 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 65.62% for AKs with a shared suit and 62.42% without one. AKs does better with a shared suit, by 3.20 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | QTs wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 65.323 | 0.593 | 34.084 | 65.620 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 62.180 | 0.488 | 37.332 | 62.424 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, AKs against QTs appears in 16 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0010%), and in 32 when the seats are swapped too (0.0020%).
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AKs takes back $126.44 of it, which is $26.44 more than it put in, and QTs takes back $73.56, $26.44 less than it put in.
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 630 for AKs, 365 for QTs and 5 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: QTs against AKs is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so QTs holds 36.78% and AKs holds 63.22%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Try AsKs against QhTh in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 16 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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