AQo vs 75s: preflop equity

If AQo and 75s get all the chips in before the flop, AQo owns 60.10% of the pot in the long run and 75s owns 39.90%.

AQo

60.10%

Wins 59.87%, ties 0.46%

75s

39.90%

Wins 39.67%, ties 0.46%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against 75s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against 75s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo59.8700.46239.66860.101
75s39.6680.46259.87039.899

AQo is an offsuit hand and 75s is a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. About 0.46% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

AQo ranks number 14 of 169 starting hands, and 75s ranks number 124, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo49,208,000380,00032,603,000
75s32,603,000380,00049,208,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AQo against 75s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo1.5061.6702.5210.664
75s0.6642.5211.6701.506

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures AQo's equity moves by 34.84 points, from 33.52% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 68.36% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. 75s takes over on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.

AQo against 75s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTies75s winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71768.2680.18431.54868.360
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31333.1400.75566.10533.517
Two-tone46.66758.3150.28441.40158.457
Monotone5.21257.1312.40040.46958.331
Paired17.09162.6810.64936.67063.006

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 64.43%, AQo changes by -4.33 points, and 75s, from 43.68%, by -3.78.

AQo and 75s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops60.10164.432-4.3310.93278
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher68.36064.432+3.9281.06096
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower33.51764.432-30.9150.52019
AQo, two-tone58.45764.432-5.9750.90727
AQo, monotone58.33164.432-6.1010.90531
AQo, paired63.00664.432-1.4260.97787
75s, all flops39.89943.676-3.7770.91352
75s, rainbow, ten or higher31.64043.676-12.0360.72443
75s, rainbow, nine or lower66.48343.676+22.8071.52219
75s, two-tone41.54343.676-2.1330.95116
75s, monotone41.66943.676-2.0070.95405
75s, paired36.99443.676-6.6820.84701

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common AQo has 60.81% equity, and with none in common it has 59.39%. AQo does better with a shared suit, by 1.42 points.

AQo against 75s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTies75s winsAQo equity
Share a suit2450.0060.5560.50338.94160.807
No shared suit2450.0059.1840.42040.39659.394

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0059% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 96 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AQo's average share is $120.20 (a gain of $20.20) and 75s' is $79.80 (a loss of $20.20).

Per 1,000 deals: AQo wins about 599, 75s wins about 397, and about 4 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 75s against AQo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 75s holds 39.90% and AQo holds 60.10%. That address sends you back to this page.

AsQh against 7d5d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 48 specific AQo against 75s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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