AQo
59.73%
Wins 59.50%, ties 0.46%
JTs
40.27%
Wins 40.04%, ties 0.46%
AQo against JTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQo | 59.497 | 0.456 | 40.047 | 59.725 |
| JTs | 40.047 | 0.456 | 59.497 | 40.275 |
The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
A 19.46 point lead is real, and JTs still takes about 400 of every 1,000 deals outright. Split pots make up 0.46% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, AQo is number 14 of the 169 starting hands and JTs is number 45.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQo | 48,901,000 | 375,000 | 32,915,000 |
| JTs | 32,915,000 | 375,000 | 48,901,000 |
The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQo | 1.483 | 1.681 | 2.497 | 0.674 |
| JTs | 0.674 | 2.497 | 1.681 | 1.483 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, AQo peaks at 67.55% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 58.09% on two-tone flops. AQo stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AQo wins | Ties | JTs wins | AQo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 58.422 | 0.110 | 41.468 | 58.477 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.770 | 67.091 | 0.908 | 32.001 | 67.545 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 57.950 | 0.282 | 41.768 | 58.091 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 56.918 | 2.376 | 40.706 | 58.106 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 62.518 | 0.612 | 36.870 | 62.824 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts AQo from 64.43% by -4.70 points and JTs from 57.53% by -17.26 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQo, all flops | 59.725 | 64.432 | -4.707 | 0.92695 |
| AQo, rainbow, ten or higher | 58.477 | 64.432 | -5.955 | 0.90758 |
| AQo, rainbow, nine or lower | 67.545 | 64.432 | +3.113 | 1.04831 |
| AQo, two-tone | 58.091 | 64.432 | -6.341 | 0.90159 |
| AQo, monotone | 58.106 | 64.432 | -6.326 | 0.90182 |
| AQo, paired | 62.824 | 64.432 | -1.608 | 0.97504 |
| JTs, all flops | 40.275 | 57.528 | -17.253 | 0.70009 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 41.523 | 57.528 | -16.005 | 0.72179 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 32.455 | 57.528 | -25.073 | 0.56416 |
| JTs, two-tone | 41.909 | 57.528 | -15.619 | 0.72850 |
| JTs, monotone | 41.894 | 57.528 | -15.634 | 0.72824 |
| JTs, paired | 37.176 | 57.528 | -20.352 | 0.64622 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? AQo has 60.38% when the hands share a suit and 59.07% when they do not. AQo does better with a shared suit, by 1.31 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AQo wins | Ties | JTs wins | AQo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 60.130 | 0.496 | 39.374 | 60.378 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 58.864 | 0.416 | 40.720 | 59.072 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 48 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0030%) are AQo against JTs, and 96 (0.0059%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. AQo averages $119.46 from the $200, up $19.46; JTs averages $80.54, down $19.46.
Per 1,000 deals: AQo wins about 595, JTs wins about 400, and about 5 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
One page covers both views. From JTs' side the equity is 40.27%, and from AQo's side it is 59.73%.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with AsQh against JdTd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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