AQo vs KQo: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, AQo finishes with 74.52% of the pot and KQo with 25.48%.

AQo

74.52%

Wins 73.95%, ties 1.14%

KQo

25.48%

Wins 24.91%, ties 1.14%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against KQo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against KQo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo73.9501.13524.91574.518
KQo24.9151.13573.95025.482

Each side holds one of the offsuit hands: AQo and KQo. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

A lead of 49.04 points is large but not decisive: KQo still takes about 249 of every 1,000 deals. The tie share is 1.14%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

AQo ranks number 14 of 169 starting hands, and KQo ranks number 23, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo136,755,0002,099,00046,075,000
KQo46,075,0002,099,000136,755,000

The board total is exact, 108 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

AQo against KQo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo2.9241.3524.0140.342
KQo0.3424.0141.3522.924

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AQo holds 86.68% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 68.76% on monotone flops. AQo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AQo against KQo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTiesKQo winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.27570.0810.77329.14670.467
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77186.0031.35612.64186.681
Two-tone46.47773.4260.88525.68973.868
Monotone5.14467.7691.98530.24668.762
Paired17.33376.9841.93921.07777.954

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, AQo holds 64.43% and KQo holds 61.46%. Facing each other changes that by +10.09 points for AQo and -35.98 points for KQo.

AQo and KQo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops74.51864.432+10.0861.15654
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher70.46764.432+6.0351.09366
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower86.68164.432+22.2491.34531
AQo, two-tone73.86864.432+9.4361.14645
AQo, monotone68.76264.432+4.3301.06720
AQo, paired77.95464.432+13.5221.20986
KQo, all flops25.48261.456-35.9740.41464
KQo, rainbow, ten or higher29.53361.456-31.9230.48056
KQo, rainbow, nine or lower13.31961.456-48.1370.21672
KQo, two-tone26.13261.456-35.3240.42521
KQo, monotone31.23861.456-30.2180.50830
KQo, paired22.04661.456-39.4100.35873

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, AQo has 74.62%; looking only at deals where they do not, 74.16%. AQo does better with a shared suit, by 0.46 points.

AQo against KQo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTiesKQo winsAQo equity
Share a suit8477.7874.0421.15724.80174.621
No shared suit2422.2273.6281.05925.31374.157

How often this matchup comes up

AQo against KQo is made up of 108 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0066% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 216 counting both seat orders, 0.0133%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. AQo's equity of 74.52% is worth $149.04, a $49.04 edge, and KQo's 25.48% is worth $50.96, which is $49.04 under its stake.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 740 wins for AQo, 249 for KQo and 11 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From KQo's side the equity is 25.48%, and from AQo's side it is 74.52%.

AsQh against KdQc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 108 specific AQo against KQo deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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