ATo
47.02%
Wins 46.79%, ties 0.46%
44
52.98%
Wins 52.75%, ties 0.46%
ATo against 44: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 46.789 | 0.464 | 52.747 | 47.021 |
| 44 | 52.747 | 0.464 | 46.789 | 52.979 |
The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a pocket pair. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.
That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. About 0.46% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, ATo is number 19 of the 169 starting hands and 44 is number 48.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 57,684,000 | 572,000 | 65,030,000 |
| 44 | 65,030,000 | 572,000 | 57,684,000 |
The total is exact: 72 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 0.888 | 2.137 | 1.896 | 1.127 |
| 44 | 1.127 | 1.896 | 2.137 | 0.888 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and 44 is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (77.82%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (46.64%). Watch for rainbow flops topped by a ten or better: on those flops ATo holds the better equity.
| Flop | Share of flops | ATo wins | Ties | 44 wins | ATo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 53.239 | 0.242 | 46.519 | 53.360 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 21.818 | 0.719 | 77.463 | 22.178 |
| Two-tone | 46.485 | 47.156 | 0.326 | 52.518 | 47.319 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 48.807 | 1.987 | 49.206 | 49.800 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 45.107 | 0.604 | 54.289 | 45.409 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 62.72%, ATo changes by -15.70 points, and 44, from 57.02%, by -4.04.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo, all flops | 47.021 | 62.722 | -15.701 | 0.74967 |
| ATo, rainbow, ten or higher | 53.360 | 62.722 | -9.362 | 0.85074 |
| ATo, rainbow, nine or lower | 22.178 | 62.722 | -40.544 | 0.35359 |
| ATo, two-tone | 47.319 | 62.722 | -15.403 | 0.75442 |
| ATo, monotone | 49.800 | 62.722 | -12.922 | 0.79398 |
| ATo, paired | 45.409 | 62.722 | -17.313 | 0.72397 |
| 44, all flops | 52.979 | 57.023 | -4.044 | 0.92908 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 46.640 | 57.023 | -10.383 | 0.81792 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 77.822 | 57.023 | +20.799 | 1.36475 |
| 44, two-tone | 52.681 | 57.023 | -4.342 | 0.92386 |
| 44, monotone | 50.200 | 57.023 | -6.823 | 0.88035 |
| 44, paired | 54.591 | 57.023 | -2.432 | 0.95735 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Of the deals of this matchup, 60 share a suit (44 at 52.90%) and 12 do not (53.39%). 44 does better with no shared suit, by 0.49 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | ATo wins | Ties | 44 wins | ATo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 46.866 | 0.477 | 52.657 | 47.104 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 46.409 | 0.398 | 53.193 | 46.608 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0089% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 144 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: 44 averages $105.96 back, ahead of its $100 by $5.96, while ATo averages $94.04, short of its $100 by $5.96.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 527 for 44, 468 for ATo and 5 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: 44 against ATo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 44 holds 52.98% and ATo holds 47.02%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Try AsTh against 4d4c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 72 specific ATo against 44 deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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