JJ vs 76s: preflop equity

If JJ and 76s get all the chips in before the flop, JJ owns 78.26% of the pot in the long run and 76s owns 21.74%.

JJ

78.26%

Wins 78.07%, ties 0.38%

76s

21.74%

Wins 21.55%, ties 0.38%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

JJ against 76s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for JJ against 76s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
JJ78.0650.37921.55678.255
76s21.5560.37978.06521.745

JJ is a pocket pair and 76s is a suited hand. Here a pair faces two cards that are both smaller, so the other hand needs to pair up and still be behind.

JJ is well ahead, and 76s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. A split pot comes up on 0.38% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

By strength against a random hand, JJ holds place 4 of 169 and 76s holds place 115.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
JJ32,081,000156,0008,859,000
76s8,859,000156,00032,081,000

The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

JJ against 76s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
JJ3.5991.2814.6390.278
76s0.2784.6391.2813.599

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures JJ's equity moves by 20.27 points, from 63.61% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 83.88% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. JJ stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

JJ against 76s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsJJ winsTies76s winsJJ equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59583.7920.17516.03383.879
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31463.3210.58736.09263.614
Two-tone46.54576.2300.24723.52376.353
Monotone5.21271.9782.37625.64673.166
Paired17.33482.0710.34317.58682.242

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give JJ 77.47% and 76s 45.37%. Against each other the change is +0.79 points for JJ and -23.63 for 76s.

JJ and 76s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
JJ, all flops78.25577.469+0.7861.01015
JJ, rainbow, ten or higher83.87977.469+6.4101.08274
JJ, rainbow, nine or lower63.61477.469-13.8550.82115
JJ, two-tone76.35377.469-1.1160.98559
JJ, monotone73.16677.469-4.3030.94446
JJ, paired82.24277.469+4.7731.06161
76s, all flops21.74545.372-23.6270.47926
76s, rainbow, ten or higher16.12145.372-29.2510.35531
76s, rainbow, nine or lower36.38645.372-8.9860.80195
76s, two-tone23.64745.372-21.7250.52118
76s, monotone26.83445.372-18.5380.59142
76s, paired17.75845.372-27.6140.39139

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common JJ has 78.82% equity, and with none in common it has 77.69%. JJ does better with a shared suit, by 1.13 points.

JJ against 76s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsJJ winsTies76s winsJJ equity
Share a suit1250.0078.6090.42320.96878.820
No shared suit1250.0077.5210.33522.14477.689

How often this matchup comes up

JJ against 76s is made up of 24 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0015% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 48 counting both seat orders, 0.0030%.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $156.52 for JJ and $43.48 for 76s; the first side gains $56.52 per all-in and the second gives up $56.52.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 781 for JJ, 215 for 76s and 4 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get 76s with 21.74% against JJ with 78.26%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

The calculator link fills in JsJh against 7d6d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 24 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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