JJ vs K9o: preflop equity

The exact count puts JJ at 71.97% and K9o at 28.03% when the two hands see all five board cards.

JJ

71.97%

Wins 71.78%, ties 0.38%

K9o

28.03%

Wins 27.84%, ties 0.38%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

JJ against K9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for JJ against K9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
JJ71.7800.37927.84171.970
K9o27.8410.37971.78028.030

Here a pocket pair (JJ) meets an offsuit hand (K9o). One of the other hand's cards outranks the pair and one is below it, which makes this a closer race than a pair against two small cards.

A lead of 43.94 points is large but not decisive: K9o still takes about 278 of every 1,000 deals. A split pot comes up on 0.38% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, JJ is number 4 and K9o is number 40.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
JJ88,495,000467,00034,324,000
K9o34,324,000467,00088,495,000

Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

JJ against K9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
JJ2.5681.3933.5920.389
K9o0.3893.5921.3932.568

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: JJ holds 82.13% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 67.20% on monotone flops. JJ stays ahead on all five textures.

JJ against K9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsJJ winsTiesK9o winsJJ equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.98868.8390.14931.01268.914
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04281.6231.01517.36282.131
Two-tone46.48571.2180.33128.45171.384
Monotone5.15166.3411.71331.94667.198
Paired17.33474.9740.17224.85475.060

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give JJ 77.47% and K9o 57.81%. Against each other the change is -5.50 points for JJ and -29.78 for K9o.

JJ and K9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
JJ, all flops71.97077.469-5.4990.92902
JJ, rainbow, ten or higher68.91477.469-8.5550.88957
JJ, rainbow, nine or lower82.13177.469+4.6621.06018
JJ, two-tone71.38477.469-6.0850.92145
JJ, monotone67.19877.469-10.2710.86742
JJ, paired75.06077.469-2.4090.96890
K9o, all flops28.03057.812-29.7820.48485
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher31.08657.812-26.7260.53771
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower17.86957.812-39.9430.30909
K9o, two-tone28.61657.812-29.1960.49498
K9o, monotone32.80257.812-25.0100.56739
K9o, paired24.94057.812-32.8720.43140

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 60 of them the hands share a suit and JJ holds 72.01%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 71.79%. The two rows differ by only 0.22 points, so suits barely change this matchup.

JJ against K9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsJJ winsTiesK9o winsJJ equity
Share a suit6083.3371.8090.39527.79672.006
No shared suit1216.6771.6360.30028.06471.786

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 72 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0044% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 144, or 0.0089%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, JJ's average share is $143.94 (a gain of $43.94) and K9o's is $56.06 (a loss of $43.94).

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 718 outright wins for JJ, 278 for K9o, and 4 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

K9o against JJ adds nothing new: it is 28.03% for K9o and 71.97% for JJ, the same figures reversed.

Try JsJh against Kd9c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 72 specific deals of JJ against K9o, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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