JJ vs KQs: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, JJ finishes with 53.67% of the pot and KQs with 46.33%.

JJ

53.67%

Wins 53.46%, ties 0.43%

KQs

46.33%

Wins 46.11%, ties 0.43%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

JJ against KQs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for JJ against KQs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
JJ53.4570.42546.11853.670
KQs46.1180.42553.45746.330

JJ, a pocket pair, plays KQs, a suited hand. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

This is close to even money, with JJ a little ahead. Of every 100 boards, about 0.43 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, JJ is number 4 of the 169 starting hands and KQs is number 16.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
JJ21,968,000175,00018,952,000
KQs18,952,000175,00021,968,000

Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

JJ against KQs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
JJ1.1581.8712.1680.863
KQs0.8632.1681.8711.158

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures JJ's equity moves by 24.83 points, from 47.50% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better to 72.33% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). On rainbow flops topped by a ten or better the numbers flip and KQs is the one ahead.

JJ against KQs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsJJ winsTiesKQs winsJJ equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.13847.4470.10852.44547.501
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77171.7211.21027.06972.326
Two-tone46.54551.2030.34848.44951.377
Monotone5.21250.7542.41746.82951.962
Paired17.33460.1590.10339.73860.211

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 77.47% for JJ and 63.40% for KQs. This opponent changes them by -23.80 and -17.07 points.

JJ and KQs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
JJ, all flops53.67077.469-23.7990.69279
JJ, rainbow, ten or higher47.50177.469-29.9680.61316
JJ, rainbow, nine or lower72.32677.469-5.1430.93361
JJ, two-tone51.37777.469-26.0920.66319
JJ, monotone51.96277.469-25.5070.67075
JJ, paired60.21177.469-17.2580.77723
KQs, all flops46.33063.400-17.0700.73076
KQs, rainbow, ten or higher52.49963.400-10.9010.82806
KQs, rainbow, nine or lower27.67463.400-35.7260.43650
KQs, two-tone48.62363.400-14.7770.76692
KQs, monotone48.03863.400-15.3620.75770
KQs, paired39.78963.400-23.6110.62759

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, JJ has 53.81%; looking only at deals where they do not, 53.53%. JJ does better with a shared suit, by 0.28 points.

JJ against KQs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsJJ winsTiesKQs winsJJ equity
Share a suit1250.0053.5740.46545.96153.807
No shared suit1250.0053.3410.38446.27553.533

How often this matchup comes up

How often does it happen? 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0015%) are JJ against KQs, and 48 (0.0030%) if either hand may sit in either seat.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. JJ's equity of 53.67% is worth $107.34, a $7.34 edge, and KQs' 46.33% is worth $92.66, which is $7.34 under its stake.

Per 1,000 deals: JJ wins about 535, KQs wins about 461, and about 4 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From KQs' side the equity is 46.33%, and from JJ's side it is 53.67%.

The calculator link fills in JsJh against KdQd, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 24 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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