TT vs KQs: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, TT is ahead of KQs by 7.38 points of equity, 53.69% to 46.31%.

TT

53.69%

Wins 53.49%, ties 0.41%

KQs

46.31%

Wins 46.10%, ties 0.41%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

TT against KQs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for TT against KQs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
TT53.4880.41246.10053.694
KQs46.1000.41253.48846.306

TT and KQs are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.

This is close to even money, with TT a little ahead. The tie share is 0.41%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, TT is number 5 of the 169 starting hands and KQs is number 16.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
TT21,981,000169,00018,945,000
KQs18,945,000169,00021,981,000

24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

TT against KQs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
TT1.1601.8702.1690.862
KQs0.8622.1691.8701.160

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

TT prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 72.61%, and likes rainbow flops topped by a ten or better least, where it holds 47.53%. TT is the favorite overall but falls behind on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better.

TT against KQs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsTT winsTiesKQs winsTT equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.13847.4590.13552.40647.527
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77172.1140.99026.89672.609
Two-tone46.54551.3020.31748.38151.461
Monotone5.21250.8302.39846.77252.029
Paired17.33459.8570.17639.96759.945

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give TT 75.01% and KQs 63.40%. Against each other the change is -21.32 points for TT and -17.09 for KQs.

TT and KQs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
TT, all flops53.69475.012-21.3180.71581
TT, rainbow, ten or higher47.52775.012-27.4850.63359
TT, rainbow, nine or lower72.60975.012-2.4030.96797
TT, two-tone51.46175.012-23.5510.68604
TT, monotone52.02975.012-22.9830.69361
TT, paired59.94575.012-15.0670.79914
KQs, all flops46.30663.400-17.0940.73038
KQs, rainbow, ten or higher52.47363.400-10.9270.82765
KQs, rainbow, nine or lower27.39163.400-36.0090.43203
KQs, two-tone48.53963.400-14.8610.76560
KQs, monotone47.97163.400-15.4290.75664
KQs, paired40.05563.400-23.3450.63178

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, TT has 53.83%; looking only at deals where they do not, 53.56%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 0.27 points.

TT against KQs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsTT winsTiesKQs winsTT equity
Share a suit1250.0053.6060.45345.94153.832
No shared suit1250.0053.3710.37046.25953.556

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 24 are TT in one seat and KQs in the other (0.0015%); with the seats swapped too, 48 (0.0030%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. TT's equity of 53.69% is worth $107.38, a $7.38 edge, and KQs' 46.31% is worth $92.62, which is $7.38 under its stake.

Per 1,000 deals: TT wins about 535, KQs wins about 461, and about 4 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

KQs versus TT is this same page seen from the other hand: 46.31% for KQs, 53.69% for TT.

Try TsTh against KdQd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 24 ways to deal one TT and one KQs without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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