JTs
62.77%
Wins 62.17%, ties 1.18%
54s
37.23%
Wins 36.65%, ties 1.18%
JTs against 54s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 62.173 | 1.184 | 36.643 | 62.765 |
| 54s | 36.643 | 1.184 | 62.173 | 37.235 |
This is a contest between two suited hands, JTs and 54s. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.
JTs is ahead, but 54s is far from dead: it takes 366 of every 1,000 deals outright. 1.18% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, JTs is number 45 and 54s is number 136.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 17,033,000 | 324,000 | 10,039,000 |
| 54s | 10,039,000 | 324,000 | 17,033,000 |
The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 1.686 | 1.608 | 2.729 | 0.593 |
| 54s | 0.593 | 2.729 | 1.608 | 1.686 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures JTs' equity moves by 29.60 points, from 39.65% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 69.25% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. Watch for low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): on those flops 54s holds the better equity.
| Flop | Share of flops | JTs wins | Ties | 54s wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 68.939 | 0.627 | 30.434 | 69.252 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 39.331 | 0.637 | 60.032 | 39.649 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 61.986 | 0.586 | 37.428 | 62.279 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 58.340 | 3.733 | 37.927 | 60.206 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 62.568 | 3.040 | 34.392 | 64.088 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +5.24 points for JTs, from 57.53%, and -4.22 for 54s, from 41.45%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs, all flops | 62.765 | 57.528 | +5.237 | 1.09103 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 69.252 | 57.528 | +11.724 | 1.20380 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 39.649 | 57.528 | -17.879 | 0.68921 |
| JTs, two-tone | 62.279 | 57.528 | +4.751 | 1.08259 |
| JTs, monotone | 60.206 | 57.528 | +2.678 | 1.04655 |
| JTs, paired | 64.088 | 57.528 | +6.560 | 1.11403 |
| 54s, all flops | 37.235 | 41.453 | -4.218 | 0.89825 |
| 54s, rainbow, ten or higher | 30.748 | 41.453 | -10.705 | 0.74176 |
| 54s, rainbow, nine or lower | 60.351 | 41.453 | +18.898 | 1.45589 |
| 54s, two-tone | 37.721 | 41.453 | -3.732 | 0.90997 |
| 54s, monotone | 39.794 | 41.453 | -1.659 | 0.95998 |
| 54s, paired | 35.912 | 41.453 | -5.541 | 0.86633 |
Does a shared suit matter?
When the hands share a suit, JTs holds 65.03%; when they do not, it holds 62.01%. JTs does better with a shared suit, by 3.02 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JTs wins | Ties | 54s wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 64.385 | 1.298 | 34.317 | 65.034 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 61.435 | 1.147 | 37.418 | 62.009 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 16 are JTs in one seat and 54s in the other (0.0010%); with the seats swapped too, 32 (0.0020%).
A worked example
Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. JTs' equity of 62.77% is worth $125.54, a $25.54 edge, and 54s' 37.23% is worth $74.46, which is $25.54 under its stake.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 622 for JTs, 366 for 54s and 12 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for 54s against JTs, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 37.23% and 62.77%.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in JsTs against 5h4h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
Method: exact enumeration. The 16 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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