JTs
64.02%
Wins 63.43%, ties 1.20%
53s
35.98%
Wins 35.37%, ties 1.20%
JTs against 53s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 63.425 | 1.195 | 35.380 | 64.023 |
| 53s | 35.380 | 1.195 | 63.425 | 35.977 |
JTs and 53s are both suited hands. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. A split pot comes up on 1.20% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, JTs is number 45 and 53s is number 146.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 17,376,000 | 327,000 | 9,693,000 |
| 53s | 9,693,000 | 327,000 | 17,376,000 |
The total is exact: 16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 1.780 | 1.577 | 2.826 | 0.562 |
| 53s | 0.562 | 2.826 | 1.577 | 1.780 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. JTs does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 70.52%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 41.74%. 53s takes over on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.
| Flop | Share of flops | JTs wins | Ties | 53s wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 70.204 | 0.627 | 29.169 | 70.517 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 41.388 | 0.703 | 57.909 | 41.740 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 63.248 | 0.596 | 36.156 | 63.546 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 59.283 | 3.745 | 36.972 | 61.155 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 63.574 | 3.044 | 33.382 | 65.096 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, JTs holds 57.53% and 53s holds 39.69%. Facing each other changes that by +6.49 points for JTs and -3.71 points for 53s.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs, all flops | 64.023 | 57.528 | +6.495 | 1.11290 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 70.517 | 57.528 | +12.989 | 1.22579 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 41.740 | 57.528 | -15.788 | 0.72556 |
| JTs, two-tone | 63.546 | 57.528 | +6.018 | 1.10461 |
| JTs, monotone | 61.155 | 57.528 | +3.627 | 1.06305 |
| JTs, paired | 65.096 | 57.528 | +7.568 | 1.13155 |
| 53s, all flops | 35.977 | 39.693 | -3.716 | 0.90638 |
| 53s, rainbow, ten or higher | 29.483 | 39.693 | -10.210 | 0.74278 |
| 53s, rainbow, nine or lower | 58.260 | 39.693 | +18.567 | 1.46777 |
| 53s, two-tone | 36.454 | 39.693 | -3.239 | 0.91840 |
| 53s, monotone | 38.845 | 39.693 | -0.848 | 0.97864 |
| 53s, paired | 34.904 | 39.693 | -4.789 | 0.87935 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? JTs has 66.44% when the hands share a suit and 63.22% when they do not. JTs does better with a shared suit, by 3.22 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JTs wins | Ties | 53s wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 65.789 | 1.308 | 32.903 | 66.443 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 62.638 | 1.157 | 36.205 | 63.216 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, JTs against 53s appears in 16 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0010%), and in 32 when the seats are swapped too (0.0020%).
A worked example
Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. JTs' equity of 64.02% is worth $128.04, a $28.04 edge, and 53s' 35.98% is worth $71.96, which is $28.04 under its stake.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 634 won outright by JTs, about 354 won outright by 53s and about 12 split.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, 53s against JTs, shows 35.98% for 53s and 64.02% for JTs. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try JsTs against 5h3h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Method: exact enumeration. The 16 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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