JTs vs 65s: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, JTs finishes with 64.19% of the pot and 65s with 35.81%.

JTs

64.19%

Wins 63.61%, ties 1.16%

65s

35.81%

Wins 35.23%, ties 1.16%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

JTs against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for JTs against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
JTs63.6061.15835.23664.185
65s35.2361.15863.60635.815

Two suited hands meet here: JTs against 65s. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Split pots make up 1.16% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

Place 45 of 169 belongs to JTs and place 128 belongs to 65s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
JTs17,426,000317,0009,654,000
65s9,654,000317,00017,426,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

JTs against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
JTs1.7921.5722.8380.558
65s0.5582.8381.5721.792

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: JTs holds 71.17% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 40.61% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 65s, the hand that is behind overall.

JTs against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsJTs winsTies65s winsJTs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59570.8690.60328.52871.170
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31440.3270.56659.10740.610
Two-tone46.72763.5120.55435.93463.789
Monotone5.27359.4643.65136.88561.290
Paired17.09163.2873.05933.65464.816

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts JTs from 57.53% by +6.66 points and 65s from 43.13% by -7.32 points.

JTs and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
JTs, all flops64.18557.528+6.6571.11572
JTs, rainbow, ten or higher71.17057.528+13.6421.23714
JTs, rainbow, nine or lower40.61057.528-16.9180.70592
JTs, two-tone63.78957.528+6.2611.10883
JTs, monotone61.29057.528+3.7621.06539
JTs, paired64.81657.528+7.2881.12669
65s, all flops35.81543.133-7.3180.83034
65s, rainbow, ten or higher28.83043.133-14.3030.66840
65s, rainbow, nine or lower59.39043.133+16.2571.37690
65s, two-tone36.21143.133-6.9220.83952
65s, monotone38.71043.133-4.4230.89746
65s, paired35.18443.133-7.9490.81571

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, JTs holds 66.63%; when they do not, it holds 63.37%. JTs does better with a shared suit, by 3.26 points.

JTs against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsJTs winsTies65s winsJTs equity
Share a suit425.0065.9911.27132.73866.626
No shared suit1275.0062.8111.12136.06863.371

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 16 are JTs in one seat and 65s in the other (0.0010%); with the seats swapped too, 32 (0.0020%).

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $128.38 for JTs and $71.62 for 65s; the first side gains $28.38 per all-in and the second gives up $28.38.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 636 outright wins for JTs, 352 for 65s, and 12 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From 65s' side the equity is 35.81%, and from JTs' side it is 64.19%.

The calculator link fills in JsTs against 6h5h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 16 ways to deal one JTs and one 65s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session