K9o
47.05%
Wins 46.72%, ties 0.67%
44
52.95%
Wins 52.61%, ties 0.67%
K9o against 44: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K9o | 46.722 | 0.665 | 52.613 | 47.054 |
| 44 | 52.613 | 0.665 | 46.722 | 52.946 |
We compare an offsuit hand with a pocket pair. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.
That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. Ties are 0.67% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, K9o is number 40 of the 169 starting hands and 44 is number 48.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| K9o | 57,602,000 | 820,000 | 64,864,000 |
| 44 | 64,864,000 | 820,000 | 57,602,000 |
The board total is exact, 72 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K9o | 0.889 | 2.140 | 1.901 | 1.125 |
| 44 | 1.125 | 1.901 | 2.140 | 0.889 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, 44 peaks at 60.84% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 50.16% on monotone flops. 44 stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | K9o wins | Ties | 44 wins | K9o equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.341 | 48.717 | 0.347 | 50.936 | 48.891 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.689 | 38.702 | 0.917 | 60.381 | 39.161 |
| Two-tone | 46.485 | 47.185 | 0.437 | 52.378 | 47.403 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 48.796 | 2.089 | 49.115 | 49.841 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 44.579 | 1.236 | 54.185 | 45.197 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 57.81% for K9o, 57.02% for 44. Here the change is -10.76 and -4.07 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K9o, all flops | 47.054 | 57.812 | -10.758 | 0.81391 |
| K9o, rainbow, ten or higher | 48.891 | 57.812 | -8.921 | 0.84569 |
| K9o, rainbow, nine or lower | 39.161 | 57.812 | -18.651 | 0.67739 |
| K9o, two-tone | 47.403 | 57.812 | -10.409 | 0.81995 |
| K9o, monotone | 49.841 | 57.812 | -7.971 | 0.86212 |
| K9o, paired | 45.197 | 57.812 | -12.615 | 0.78179 |
| 44, all flops | 52.946 | 57.023 | -4.077 | 0.92850 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 51.109 | 57.023 | -5.914 | 0.89629 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 60.839 | 57.023 | +3.816 | 1.06692 |
| 44, two-tone | 52.597 | 57.023 | -4.426 | 0.92238 |
| 44, monotone | 50.159 | 57.023 | -6.864 | 0.87963 |
| 44, paired | 54.803 | 57.023 | -2.220 | 0.96107 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 52.86% for 44 with a shared suit and 53.36% without one. 44 does better with no shared suit, by 0.50 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | K9o wins | Ties | 44 wins | K9o equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 46.798 | 0.678 | 52.524 | 47.137 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 46.341 | 0.598 | 53.061 | 46.640 |
How often this matchup comes up
The class pair covers 72 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0044% of 1,624,350, and 144 (0.0089%) in either order.
A worked example
Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. 44's equity of 52.95% is worth $105.90, a $5.90 edge, and K9o's 47.05% is worth $94.10, which is $5.90 under its stake.
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 526 for 44, 467 for K9o and 7 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for 44 against K9o, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 52.95% and 47.05%.
Keep exploring
Try Ks9h against 4d4c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 72 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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