K9o vs 54s: preflop equity

If K9o and 54s get all the chips in before the flop, K9o owns 59.24% of the pot in the long run and 54s owns 40.76%.

K9o

59.24%

Wins 58.88%, ties 0.72%

54s

40.76%

Wins 40.40%, ties 0.72%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

K9o against 54s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for K9o against 54s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
K9o58.8820.72240.39659.243
54s40.3960.72258.88240.757

K9o and 54s are an offsuit hand and a suited hand, in that order. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

A 18.48 point lead is real, and 54s still takes about 404 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.72% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

Among the 169 starting hands, K9o is number 40 and 54s is number 136 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
K9o48,395,000593,00033,202,000
54s33,202,000593,00048,395,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

K9o against 54s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
K9o1.4541.6982.4750.688
54s0.6882.4751.6981.454

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, K9o peaks at 64.09% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 43.60% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). Watch for low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): on those flops 54s holds the better equity.

K9o against 54s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsK9o winsTies54s winsK9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34163.9040.36635.73064.087
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68943.1640.86555.97143.597
Two-tone46.66757.3890.43042.18157.604
Monotone5.21256.4592.56140.98057.739
Paired17.09161.4871.43637.07762.205

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +1.43 points for K9o, from 57.81%, and -0.69 for 54s, from 41.45%.

K9o and 54s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
K9o, all flops59.24357.812+1.4311.02475
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher64.08757.812+6.2751.10854
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower43.59757.812-14.2150.75412
K9o, two-tone57.60457.812-0.2080.99640
K9o, monotone57.73957.812-0.0730.99874
K9o, paired62.20557.812+4.3931.07599
54s, all flops40.75741.453-0.6960.98321
54s, rainbow, ten or higher35.91341.453-5.5400.86635
54s, rainbow, nine or lower56.40341.453+14.9501.36065
54s, two-tone42.39641.453+0.9431.02275
54s, monotone42.26141.453+0.8081.01949
54s, paired37.79541.453-3.6580.91176

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? K9o has 59.93% when the hands share a suit and 58.55% when they do not. K9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.38 points.

K9o against 54s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsK9o winsTies54s winsK9o equity
Share a suit2450.0059.5530.76239.68559.934
No shared suit2450.0058.2120.68141.10758.553

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, K9o against 54s appears in 48 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0030%), and in 96 when the seats are swapped too (0.0059%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. K9o's equity of 59.24% is worth $118.48, a $18.48 edge, and 54s' 40.76% is worth $81.52, which is $18.48 under its stake.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 589 wins for K9o, 404 for 54s and 7 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 54s against K9o is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 54s holds 40.76% and K9o holds 59.24%. That address sends you back to this page.

The calculator link fills in Ks9h against 5d4d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 48 specific K9o against 54s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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