K9o vs 65s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 58.98% for K9o and 41.02% for 65s, so K9o leads by 17.96 points.

K9o

58.98%

Wins 58.64%, ties 0.68%

65s

41.02%

Wins 40.68%, ties 0.68%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

K9o against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for K9o against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
K9o58.6380.67940.68358.978
65s40.6830.67958.63841.022

K9o is an offsuit hand and 65s is a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

K9o is ahead, but 65s is far from dead: it takes 407 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.68% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

For context, K9o sits at number 40 of 169 starting hands and 65s at number 128 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
K9o48,195,000558,00033,438,000
65s33,438,000558,00048,195,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

K9o against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
K9o1.4381.7052.4580.696
65s0.6962.4581.7051.438

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. K9o does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 64.58%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 39.64%. The lead reverses on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): there 65s is the favorite even though K9o is ahead overall.

K9o against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsK9o winsTies65s winsK9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34164.4150.33335.25264.581
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68939.2870.69860.01539.636
Two-tone46.66757.1290.37842.49357.318
Monotone5.21256.2572.49041.25357.502
Paired17.09161.3631.45537.18262.091

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts K9o from 57.81% by +1.17 points and 65s from 43.13% by -2.11 points.

K9o and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
K9o, all flops58.97857.812+1.1661.02017
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher64.58157.812+6.7691.11709
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower39.63657.812-18.1760.68560
K9o, two-tone57.31857.812-0.4940.99146
K9o, monotone57.50257.812-0.3100.99464
K9o, paired62.09157.812+4.2791.07402
65s, all flops41.02243.133-2.1110.95106
65s, rainbow, ten or higher35.41943.133-7.7140.82116
65s, rainbow, nine or lower60.36443.133+17.2311.39949
65s, two-tone42.68243.133-0.4510.98954
65s, monotone42.49843.133-0.6350.98528
65s, paired37.90943.133-5.2240.87889

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and K9o holds 59.65%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 58.30%. K9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.35 points.

K9o against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsK9o winsTies65s winsK9o equity
Share a suit2450.0059.2920.72039.98859.652
No shared suit2450.0057.9850.63841.37758.304

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 48 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0030% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 96, or 0.0059%.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. K9o is worth $117.96 on average (+$17.96); 65s is worth $82.04 (-$17.96).

Per 1,000 deals: K9o wins about 586, 65s wins about 407, and about 7 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

65s versus K9o is this same page seen from the other hand: 41.02% for 65s, 58.98% for K9o.

The calculator link fills in Ks9h against 6d5d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 48 specific K9o against 65s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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