Q9s vs 65s: preflop equity

Before any board card is dealt, Q9s holds 61.87% equity against 65s, which leaves 65s with 38.13%.

Q9s

61.87%

Wins 61.40%, ties 0.94%

65s

38.13%

Wins 37.66%, ties 0.94%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

Q9s against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for Q9s against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
Q9s61.4030.94237.65561.874
65s37.6550.94261.40338.126

Here suited hands face each other, Q9s on one side and 65s on the other. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. A split pot comes up on 0.94% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

Place 43 of 169 belongs to Q9s and place 128 belongs to 65s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
Q9s16,822,000258,00010,316,000
65s10,316,000258,00016,822,000

The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

Q9s against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
Q9s1.6231.6292.6560.616
65s0.6162.6561.6291.623

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: Q9s holds 66.59% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 41.97% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 65s is ahead on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), even though it trails Q9s when every flop is counted.

Q9s against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQ9s winsTies65s winsQ9s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22066.3570.45933.18466.586
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68941.6440.64357.71341.966
Two-tone46.72761.0090.45738.53461.237
Monotone5.27357.5353.58738.87859.329
Paired17.09162.9452.26134.79464.076

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 57.66% for Q9s, 43.13% for 65s. Here the change is +4.21 and -5.00 points.

Q9s and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
Q9s, all flops61.87457.664+4.2101.07301
Q9s, rainbow, ten or higher66.58657.664+8.9221.15472
Q9s, rainbow, nine or lower41.96657.664-15.6980.72777
Q9s, two-tone61.23757.664+3.5731.06196
Q9s, monotone59.32957.664+1.6651.02887
Q9s, paired64.07657.664+6.4121.11120
65s, all flops38.12643.133-5.0070.88392
65s, rainbow, ten or higher33.41443.133-9.7190.77467
65s, rainbow, nine or lower58.03443.133+14.9011.34547
65s, two-tone38.76343.133-4.3700.89869
65s, monotone40.67143.133-2.4620.94292
65s, paired35.92443.133-7.2090.83287

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give Q9s 64.09% when the hands overlap in a suit and 61.14% when they do not. Q9s does better with a shared suit, by 2.95 points.

Q9s against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQ9s winsTies65s winsQ9s equity
Share a suit425.0063.5671.04135.39264.087
No shared suit1275.0060.6830.90838.40961.137

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 16 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0010% of 1,624,350, and 32 (0.0020%) in either order.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, Q9s' average share is $123.74 (a gain of $23.74) and 65s' is $76.26 (a loss of $23.74).

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 614 for Q9s, 377 for 65s and 9 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 65s against Q9s is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 65s holds 38.13% and Q9s holds 61.87%. That address sends you back to this page.

Open the calculator with Qs9s against 6h5h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 16 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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