KJo vs QTo: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, KJo finishes with 62.68% of the pot and QTo with 37.32%.

KJo

62.68%

Wins 62.34%, ties 0.68%

QTo

37.32%

Wins 36.98%, ties 0.68%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KJo against QTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KJo against QTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KJo62.3380.68436.97862.680
QTo36.9780.68462.33837.320

This is a contest between two offsuit hands, KJo and QTo. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

A 25.36 point lead is real, and QTo still takes about 370 of every 1,000 deals outright. Of every 100 boards, about 0.68 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

Among the 169 starting hands, KJo is number 26 and QTo is number 47 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 246,571,776 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KJo153,708,0001,687,00091,177,000
QTo91,177,0001,687,000153,708,000

144 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

KJo against QTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KJo1.6801.6042.7040.595
QTo0.5952.7041.6041.680

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: KJo holds 74.08% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 58.21% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. KJo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KJo against QTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKJo winsTiesQTo winsKJo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.38158.0700.27141.65958.206
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77173.5930.98125.42674.084
Two-tone46.60661.8070.43337.76062.024
Monotone5.15159.7071.81738.47660.616
Paired17.09165.3001.45433.24666.027

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, KJo holds 60.57% and QTo holds 57.29%. Facing each other changes that by +2.11 points for KJo and -19.97 points for QTo.

KJo and QTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KJo, all flops62.68060.569+2.1111.03485
KJo, rainbow, ten or higher58.20660.569-2.3630.96099
KJo, rainbow, nine or lower74.08460.569+13.5151.22313
KJo, two-tone62.02460.569+1.4551.02402
KJo, monotone60.61660.569+0.0471.00078
KJo, paired66.02760.569+5.4581.09011
QTo, all flops37.32057.291-19.9710.65141
QTo, rainbow, ten or higher41.79457.291-15.4970.72950
QTo, rainbow, nine or lower25.91657.291-31.3750.45236
QTo, two-tone37.97657.291-19.3150.66286
QTo, monotone39.38457.291-17.9070.68744
QTo, paired33.97357.291-23.3180.59299

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 62.74% for KJo with a shared suit and 62.36% without one. KJo does better with a shared suit, by 0.38 points.

KJo against QTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKJo winsTiesQTo winsKJo equity
Share a suit12083.3362.3940.69936.90762.744
No shared suit2416.6762.0600.60437.33662.362

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 144 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0089% of 1,624,350, and 288 (0.0177%) in either order.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, KJo's average share is $125.36 (a gain of $25.36) and QTo's is $74.64 (a loss of $25.36).

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 623 for KJo, 370 for QTo and 7 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

QTo against KJo adds nothing new: it is 37.32% for QTo and 62.68% for KJo, the same figures reversed.

The calculator link fills in KsJh against QdTc, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 144 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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