KQs vs A7s: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, A7s finishes with 56.99% of the pot and KQs with 43.01%.

KQs

43.01%

Wins 42.77%, ties 0.49%

A7s

56.99%

Wins 56.74%, ties 0.49%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQs against A7s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQs against A7s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQs42.7680.49056.74243.013
A7s56.7420.49042.76856.987

Two suited hands meet here: KQs against A7s. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. 0.49% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

For context, KQs sits at number 16 of 169 starting hands and A7s at number 24 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQs11,717,000134,00015,546,000
A7s15,546,000134,00011,717,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

KQs against A7s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQs0.7552.3381.7621.325
A7s1.3251.7622.3380.755

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, A7s peaks at 75.19% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 50.72% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. A7s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KQs against A7s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQs winsTiesA7s winsKQs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86749.2200.11550.66549.278
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04224.3890.84974.76224.814
Two-tone46.72744.0790.25255.66944.205
Monotone5.27343.8883.40652.70645.591
Paired17.09137.4030.61661.98137.711

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 63.40% for KQs, 60.98% for A7s. Here the change is -20.39 and -3.99 points.

KQs and A7s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQs, all flops43.01363.400-20.3870.67844
KQs, rainbow, ten or higher49.27863.400-14.1220.77726
KQs, rainbow, nine or lower24.81463.400-38.5860.39139
KQs, two-tone44.20563.400-19.1950.69724
KQs, monotone45.59163.400-17.8090.71910
KQs, paired37.71163.400-25.6890.59481
A7s, all flops56.98760.984-3.9970.93446
A7s, rainbow, ten or higher50.72260.984-10.2620.83173
A7s, rainbow, nine or lower75.18660.984+14.2021.23288
A7s, two-tone55.79560.984-5.1890.91491
A7s, monotone54.40960.984-6.5750.89218
A7s, paired62.28960.984+1.3051.02140

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, A7s has 58.88%; looking only at deals where they do not, 56.36%. A7s does better with a shared suit, by 2.52 points.

KQs against A7s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQs winsTiesA7s winsKQs equity
Share a suit425.0040.8370.56858.59541.121
No shared suit1275.0043.4120.46456.12443.644

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 16 are KQs in one seat and A7s in the other (0.0010%); with the seats swapped too, 32 (0.0020%).

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average A7s takes back $113.98 of it, which is $13.98 more than it put in, and KQs takes back $86.02, $13.98 less than it put in.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 567 wins for A7s, 428 for KQs and 5 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, A7s against KQs, shows 56.99% for A7s and 43.01% for KQs. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

KsQs against Ah7h is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 16 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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