KQs vs A9o: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, A9o finishes with 54.73% of the pot and KQs with 45.27%.

KQs

45.27%

Wins 45.04%, ties 0.46%

A9o

54.73%

Wins 54.50%, ties 0.46%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQs against A9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQs against A9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQs45.0370.46454.49945.269
A9o54.4990.46445.03754.731

The first hand is a suited hand; the second is an offsuit hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

With only 9.46 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. Ties are part of the picture: 0.46% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

By strength against a random hand, KQs holds place 16 of 169 and A9o holds place 25.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQs37,016,000381,00044,793,000
A9o44,793,000381,00037,016,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

KQs against A9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQs0.8272.2201.8351.209
A9o1.2091.8352.2200.827

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. A9o does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 73.43%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 49.88%. Watch for rainbow flops topped by a ten or better: on those flops KQs holds the better equity.

KQs against A9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQs winsTiesA9o winsKQs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.98850.0570.11849.82550.116
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04226.0601.01772.92326.568
Two-tone46.66747.3130.29152.39647.459
Monotone5.21246.1382.38051.48247.328
Paired17.09139.2600.60860.13239.564

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, KQs changes by -18.13 points (baseline 63.40%) and A9o by -6.04 points (baseline 60.77%).

KQs and A9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQs, all flops45.26963.400-18.1310.71402
KQs, rainbow, ten or higher50.11663.400-13.2840.79047
KQs, rainbow, nine or lower26.56863.400-36.8320.41905
KQs, two-tone47.45963.400-15.9410.74856
KQs, monotone47.32863.400-16.0720.74650
KQs, paired39.56463.400-23.8360.62404
A9o, all flops54.73160.773-6.0420.90058
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher49.88460.773-10.8890.82083
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower73.43260.773+12.6591.20830
A9o, two-tone52.54160.773-8.2320.86455
A9o, monotone52.67260.773-8.1010.86670
A9o, paired60.43660.773-0.3370.99445

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and A9o holds 55.21%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 54.26%. A9o does better with a shared suit, by 0.95 points.

KQs against A9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQs winsTiesA9o winsKQs equity
Share a suit2450.0044.5410.50554.95444.793
No shared suit2450.0045.5330.42254.04545.744

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 48 are KQs in one seat and A9o in the other (0.0030%); with the seats swapped too, 96 (0.0059%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. A9o's equity of 54.73% is worth $109.46, a $9.46 edge, and KQs' 45.27% is worth $90.54, which is $9.46 under its stake.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 545 for A9o, 450 for KQs and 5 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From A9o's side the equity is 54.73%, and from KQs' side it is 45.27%.

KsQs against Ah9d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 48 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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