Q9s vs 75s: preflop equity

If Q9s and 75s get all the chips in before the flop, Q9s owns 63.06% of the pot in the long run and 75s owns 36.94%.

Q9s

63.06%

Wins 62.59%, ties 0.95%

75s

36.94%

Wins 36.46%, ties 0.95%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

Q9s against 75s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for Q9s against 75s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
Q9s62.5850.94936.46663.060
75s36.4660.94962.58536.940

Both hands are suited hands: Q9s and 75s. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Of every 100 boards, about 0.95 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

For context, Q9s sits at number 43 of 169 starting hands and 75s at number 124 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
Q9s17,146,000260,0009,991,000
75s9,991,000260,00017,146,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

Q9s against 75s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
Q9s1.7071.5982.7420.586
75s0.5862.7421.5981.707

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, Q9s peaks at 67.61% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 45.04% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 75s, the hand that is behind overall.

Q9s against 75s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQ9s winsTies75s winsQ9s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22067.3570.49732.14667.605
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68944.7690.55154.68045.044
Two-tone46.72762.2370.46737.29662.471
Monotone5.27358.4513.56837.98160.235
Paired17.09163.7022.25734.04164.830

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +5.40 points for Q9s, from 57.66%, and -6.74 for 75s, from 43.68%.

Q9s and 75s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
Q9s, all flops63.06057.664+5.3961.09358
Q9s, rainbow, ten or higher67.60557.664+9.9411.17240
Q9s, rainbow, nine or lower45.04457.664-12.6200.78115
Q9s, two-tone62.47157.664+4.8071.08336
Q9s, monotone60.23557.664+2.5711.04459
Q9s, paired64.83057.664+7.1661.12427
75s, all flops36.94043.676-6.7360.84577
75s, rainbow, ten or higher32.39543.676-11.2810.74171
75s, rainbow, nine or lower54.95643.676+11.2801.25827
75s, two-tone37.52943.676-6.1470.85926
75s, monotone39.76543.676-3.9110.91045
75s, paired35.17043.676-8.5060.80525

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 4 of them the hands share a suit and Q9s holds 65.42%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 62.27%. Q9s does better with a shared suit, by 3.15 points.

Q9s against 75s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQ9s winsTies75s winsQ9s equity
Share a suit425.0064.8951.05034.05565.420
No shared suit1275.0061.8150.91537.27062.273

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. Q9s' equity of 63.06% is worth $126.12, a $26.12 edge, and 75s' 36.94% is worth $73.88, which is $26.12 under its stake.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 626 won outright by Q9s, about 365 won outright by 75s and about 9 split.

The same matchup from the other side

75s against Q9s adds nothing new: it is 36.94% for 75s and 63.06% for Q9s, the same figures reversed.

Try Qs9s against 7h5h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 16 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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