67.80%
Wins 67.57%, ties 0.46%
A2s
32.20%
Wins 31.97%, ties 0.46%
QQ against A2s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67.571 | 0.457 | 31.972 | 67.799 | |
| A2s | 31.972 | 0.457 | 67.571 | 32.201 |
One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. The pair is ahead of one card and behind the other, so the board decides how that plays out.
That is a clear edge, 67.80% to 32.20%, but A2s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. A split pot comes up on 0.46% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
Place 3 of 169 belongs to QQ and place 46 belongs to A2s in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27,769,000 | 188,000 | 13,139,000 | |
| A2s | 13,139,000 | 188,000 | 27,769,000 |
The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.105 | 1.480 | 3.128 | 0.475 | |
| A2s | 0.475 | 3.128 | 1.480 | 2.105 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
QQ prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 75.30%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 63.32%. QQ stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | QQ wins | Ties | A2s wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 67.459 | 0.162 | 32.379 | 67.540 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 74.631 | 1.337 | 24.032 | 75.299 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 65.844 | 0.391 | 33.765 | 66.039 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 62.094 | 2.452 | 35.454 | 63.320 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 71.141 | 0.083 | 28.776 | 71.182 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -12.13 points for QQ, from 79.93%, and -25.18 for A2s, from 57.38%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQ, all flops | 67.799 | 79.925 | -12.126 | 0.84828 |
| QQ, rainbow, ten or higher | 67.540 | 79.925 | -12.385 | 0.84504 |
| QQ, rainbow, nine or lower | 75.299 | 79.925 | -4.626 | 0.94212 |
| QQ, two-tone | 66.039 | 79.925 | -13.886 | 0.82626 |
| QQ, monotone | 63.320 | 79.925 | -16.605 | 0.79224 |
| QQ, paired | 71.182 | 79.925 | -8.743 | 0.89061 |
| A2s, all flops | 32.201 | 57.379 | -25.178 | 0.56120 |
| A2s, rainbow, ten or higher | 32.460 | 57.379 | -24.919 | 0.56571 |
| A2s, rainbow, nine or lower | 24.701 | 57.379 | -32.678 | 0.43049 |
| A2s, two-tone | 33.961 | 57.379 | -23.418 | 0.59187 |
| A2s, monotone | 36.680 | 57.379 | -20.699 | 0.63926 |
| A2s, paired | 28.818 | 57.379 | -28.561 | 0.50224 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 68.09% for QQ with a shared suit and 67.51% without one. QQ does better with a shared suit, by 0.58 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QQ wins | Ties | A2s wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 67.844 | 0.499 | 31.657 | 68.094 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 67.297 | 0.415 | 32.288 | 67.505 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 24 specific-card matchups (0.0015% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 48 once you count the seats both ways (0.0030%).
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says QQ gets $135.60 of it on average and A2s gets $64.40.
Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 676 wins for QQ, 320 for A2s and 4 chopped pots.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, A2s against QQ, shows 32.20% for A2s and 67.80% for QQ. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
QsQh against Ad2d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 24 specific deals of QQ against A2s, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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