TT vs 64s: preflop equity

Before any board card is dealt, TT holds 79.41% equity against 64s, which leaves 64s with 20.59%.

TT

79.41%

Wins 79.17%, ties 0.49%

64s

20.59%

Wins 20.34%, ties 0.49%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

TT against 64s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for TT against 64s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
TT79.1660.49220.34279.412
64s20.3420.49279.16620.588

TT and 64s are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. Here a pair faces two cards that are both smaller, so the other hand needs to pair up and still be behind.

TT is well ahead, and 64s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Ties are 0.49% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

The hand ranking puts TT at 5 and 64s at 138 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
TT32,534,000202,0008,360,000
64s8,360,000202,00032,534,000

24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

TT against 64s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
TT3.8571.2634.9160.259
64s0.2594.9161.2633.857

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, TT peaks at 85.18% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 65.11% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

TT against 64s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsTT winsTies64s winsTT equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59585.0590.24914.69285.184
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31464.7880.64334.56965.109
Two-tone46.54577.4220.31322.26577.579
Monotone5.21272.8452.44624.70974.068
Paired17.33482.6240.67416.70282.961

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 75.01% for TT and 41.33% for 64s. This opponent changes them by +4.40 and -20.74 points.

TT and 64s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
TT, all flops79.41275.012+4.4001.05866
TT, rainbow, ten or higher85.18475.012+10.1721.13560
TT, rainbow, nine or lower65.10975.012-9.9030.86798
TT, two-tone77.57975.012+2.5671.03422
TT, monotone74.06875.012-0.9440.98742
TT, paired82.96175.012+7.9491.10597
64s, all flops20.58841.333-20.7450.49810
64s, rainbow, ten or higher14.81641.333-26.5170.35845
64s, rainbow, nine or lower34.89141.333-6.4420.84414
64s, two-tone22.42141.333-18.9120.54245
64s, monotone25.93241.333-15.4010.62739
64s, paired17.03941.333-24.2940.41224

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and TT holds 79.99%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 78.83%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 1.16 points.

TT against 64s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsTT winsTies64s winsTT equity
Share a suit1250.0079.7230.53619.74179.991
No shared suit1250.0078.6090.44820.94378.833

How often this matchup comes up

TT against 64s is made up of 24 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0015% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 48 counting both seat orders, 0.0030%.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $158.82 for TT and $41.18 for 64s; the first side gains $58.82 per all-in and the second gives up $58.82.

Think in thousands: about 792 of 1,000 go to TT, about 203 go to 64s, and about 5 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From 64s' side the equity is 20.59%, and from TT's side it is 79.41%.

Try TsTh against 6d4d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 24 ways to deal one TT and one 64s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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