TT
54.22%
Wins 54.02%, ties 0.40%
AJs
45.78%
Wins 45.58%, ties 0.40%
TT against AJs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 54.018 | 0.397 | 45.585 | 54.216 |
| AJs | 45.585 | 0.397 | 54.018 | 45.784 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against a suited hand. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.
That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. Of every 100 boards, about 0.40 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
By strength against a random hand, TT holds place 5 of 169 and AJs holds place 11.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 22,199,000 | 163,000 | 18,733,000 |
| AJs | 18,733,000 | 163,000 | 22,199,000 |
The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 1.184 | 1.851 | 2.194 | 0.844 |
| AJs | 0.844 | 2.194 | 1.851 | 1.184 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. TT does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 71.66%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 48.73%. AJs is ahead on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, even though it trails TT when every flop is counted.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | AJs wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 48.657 | 0.135 | 51.208 | 48.725 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 71.199 | 0.923 | 27.878 | 71.660 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 51.926 | 0.304 | 47.770 | 52.078 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 51.339 | 2.391 | 46.270 | 52.534 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 59.894 | 0.164 | 39.942 | 59.976 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 75.01% for TT and 65.39% for AJs. This opponent changes them by -20.79 and -19.61 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 54.216 | 75.012 | -20.796 | 0.72276 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 48.725 | 75.012 | -26.287 | 0.64956 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 71.660 | 75.012 | -3.352 | 0.95531 |
| TT, two-tone | 52.078 | 75.012 | -22.934 | 0.69426 |
| TT, monotone | 52.534 | 75.012 | -22.478 | 0.70034 |
| TT, paired | 59.976 | 75.012 | -15.036 | 0.79955 |
| AJs, all flops | 45.784 | 65.393 | -19.609 | 0.70014 |
| AJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 51.275 | 65.393 | -14.118 | 0.78411 |
| AJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 28.340 | 65.393 | -37.053 | 0.43338 |
| AJs, two-tone | 47.922 | 65.393 | -17.471 | 0.73283 |
| AJs, monotone | 47.466 | 65.393 | -17.927 | 0.72586 |
| AJs, paired | 40.024 | 65.393 | -25.369 | 0.61205 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, TT has 54.37%; looking only at deals where they do not, 54.07%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 0.30 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | AJs wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 54.148 | 0.439 | 45.413 | 54.368 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 53.887 | 0.356 | 45.757 | 54.065 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, TT against AJs appears in 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0015%), and in 48 when the seats are swapped too (0.0030%).
A worked example
Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. TT's equity of 54.22% is worth $108.44, a $8.44 edge, and AJs' 45.78% is worth $91.56, which is $8.44 under its stake.
Think in thousands: about 540 of 1,000 go to TT, about 456 go to AJs, and about 4 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, AJs against TT, shows 45.78% for AJs and 54.22% for TT. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try TsTh against AdJd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 24 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session