TT
69.13%
Wins 68.03%, ties 2.20%
ATo
30.87%
Wins 29.77%, ties 2.20%
TT against ATo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 68.033 | 2.200 | 29.767 | 69.133 |
| ATo | 29.767 | 2.200 | 68.033 | 30.867 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against an offsuit hand. One hand holds a card of the same rank as the pair, which removes a card the pair needs and makes the pair a bigger favorite.
A lead of 38.26 points is large but not decisive: ATo still takes about 298 of every 1,000 deals. Of every 100 boards, about 2.20 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, TT is number 5 of the 169 starting hands and ATo is number 19.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 41,938,000 | 1,356,000 | 18,349,000 |
| ATo | 18,349,000 | 1,356,000 | 41,938,000 |
36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 2.240 | 1.470 | 3.359 | 0.446 |
| ATo | 0.446 | 3.359 | 1.470 | 2.240 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and TT is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (84.10%) and weakest on monotone flops (62.10%). TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | ATo wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.053 | 62.369 | 2.173 | 35.458 | 63.456 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 82.284 | 3.640 | 14.076 | 84.104 |
| Two-tone | 46.215 | 66.659 | 2.425 | 30.916 | 67.872 |
| Monotone | 5.130 | 60.775 | 2.647 | 36.578 | 62.098 |
| Paired | 17.831 | 74.792 | 0.899 | 24.309 | 75.241 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 75.01% for TT and 62.72% for ATo. This opponent changes them by -5.88 and -31.85 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 69.133 | 75.012 | -5.879 | 0.92163 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 63.456 | 75.012 | -11.556 | 0.84594 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 84.104 | 75.012 | +9.092 | 1.12121 |
| TT, two-tone | 67.872 | 75.012 | -7.140 | 0.90482 |
| TT, monotone | 62.098 | 75.012 | -12.914 | 0.82784 |
| TT, paired | 75.241 | 75.012 | +0.229 | 1.00305 |
| ATo, all flops | 30.867 | 62.722 | -31.855 | 0.49212 |
| ATo, rainbow, ten or higher | 36.544 | 62.722 | -26.178 | 0.58263 |
| ATo, rainbow, nine or lower | 15.896 | 62.722 | -46.826 | 0.25344 |
| ATo, two-tone | 32.128 | 62.722 | -30.594 | 0.51223 |
| ATo, monotone | 37.902 | 62.722 | -24.820 | 0.60429 |
| ATo, paired | 24.759 | 62.722 | -37.963 | 0.39474 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Of the deals of this matchup, 24 share a suit (TT at 69.07%) and 12 do not (69.26%). The two rows differ by only 0.19 points, so suits barely change this matchup.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | ATo wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 66.67 | 67.951 | 2.236 | 29.813 | 69.069 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 33.33 | 68.196 | 2.128 | 29.676 | 69.260 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0044% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 72 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. TT's equity of 69.13% is worth $138.26, a $38.26 edge, and ATo's 30.87% is worth $61.74, which is $38.26 under its stake.
Think in thousands: about 680 of 1,000 go to TT, about 298 go to ATo, and about 22 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
One page covers both views. From ATo's side the equity is 30.87%, and from TT's side it is 69.13%.
Keep exploring
TsTh against AdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific TT against ATo deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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