JJ
65.49%
Wins 64.66%, ties 1.66%
AJs
34.51%
Wins 33.68%, ties 1.66%
JJ against AJs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 64.664 | 1.659 | 33.677 | 65.494 |
| AJs | 33.677 | 1.659 | 64.664 | 34.506 |
Here a pocket pair (JJ) meets a suited hand (AJs). The pair already holds one of the other hand's ranks, and that overlap cuts down the cards the other hand can pair with.
That is a clear edge, 65.49% to 34.51%, but AJs still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Ties are part of the picture: 1.66% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
The hand ranking puts JJ at 4 and AJs at 11 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 13,287,000 | 341,000 | 6,920,000 |
| AJs | 6,920,000 | 341,000 | 13,287,000 |
The board total is exact, 12 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 1.898 | 1.546 | 2.969 | 0.527 |
| AJs | 0.527 | 2.969 | 1.546 | 1.898 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, JJ's equity runs from 61.09% on monotone flops up to 81.48% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). JJ stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | JJ wins | Ties | AJs wins | JJ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.011 | 60.297 | 1.925 | 37.778 | 61.259 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 80.464 | 2.031 | 17.505 | 81.480 |
| Two-tone | 46.236 | 62.132 | 1.761 | 36.107 | 63.013 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 59.783 | 2.615 | 37.602 | 61.091 |
| Paired | 17.831 | 71.390 | 0.611 | 27.999 | 71.696 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, JJ changes by -11.98 points (baseline 77.47%) and AJs by -30.88 points (baseline 65.39%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ, all flops | 65.494 | 77.469 | -11.975 | 0.84542 |
| JJ, rainbow, ten or higher | 61.259 | 77.469 | -16.210 | 0.79076 |
| JJ, rainbow, nine or lower | 81.480 | 77.469 | +4.011 | 1.05178 |
| JJ, two-tone | 63.013 | 77.469 | -14.456 | 0.81340 |
| JJ, monotone | 61.091 | 77.469 | -16.378 | 0.78859 |
| JJ, paired | 71.696 | 77.469 | -5.773 | 0.92548 |
| AJs, all flops | 34.506 | 65.393 | -30.887 | 0.52767 |
| AJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 38.741 | 65.393 | -26.652 | 0.59243 |
| AJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 18.520 | 65.393 | -46.873 | 0.28321 |
| AJs, two-tone | 36.987 | 65.393 | -28.406 | 0.56561 |
| AJs, monotone | 38.909 | 65.393 | -26.484 | 0.59500 |
| AJs, paired | 28.304 | 65.393 | -37.089 | 0.43283 |
Does a shared suit matter?
For this pair the shared-suit row is empty: the two hands cannot both own a card of one suit without reusing a card.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JJ wins | Ties | AJs wins | JJ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 0 | 0.00 | not possible | not possible | not possible | not possible |
| No shared suit | 12 | 100.00 | 64.664 | 1.659 | 33.677 | 65.494 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 12 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0007% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 24, or 0.0015%.
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, JJ's average share is $130.98 (a gain of $30.98) and AJs' is $69.02 (a loss of $30.98).
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 647 outright wins for JJ, 337 for AJs, and 16 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for AJs against JJ, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 34.51% and 65.49%.
Keep exploring
Try JsJh against AdJd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 12 deals of JJ against AJs fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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