JJ
54.04%
Wins 53.83%, ties 0.42%
AKs
45.96%
Wins 45.75%, ties 0.42%
JJ against AKs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 53.829 | 0.420 | 45.751 | 54.039 |
| AKs | 45.751 | 0.420 | 53.829 | 45.961 |
Here a pocket pair (JJ) meets a suited hand (AKs). A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.
That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. Ties are 0.42% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, JJ is number 4 of the 169 starting hands and AKs is number 8.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 22,121,000 | 173,000 | 18,802,000 |
| AKs | 18,802,000 | 173,000 | 22,121,000 |
The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 1.176 | 1.858 | 2.186 | 0.851 |
| AKs | 0.851 | 2.186 | 1.858 | 1.176 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and JJ is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (71.21%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (48.56%). Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better favor AKs, the hand that is behind overall.
| Flop | Share of flops | JJ wins | Ties | AKs wins | JJ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 48.506 | 0.110 | 51.384 | 48.561 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 70.605 | 1.201 | 28.194 | 71.205 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 51.674 | 0.347 | 47.979 | 51.847 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 51.184 | 2.417 | 46.399 | 52.392 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 59.994 | 0.083 | 39.923 | 60.035 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, JJ changes by -23.43 points (baseline 77.47%) and AKs by -21.09 points (baseline 67.05%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ, all flops | 54.039 | 77.469 | -23.430 | 0.69756 |
| JJ, rainbow, ten or higher | 48.561 | 77.469 | -28.908 | 0.62684 |
| JJ, rainbow, nine or lower | 71.205 | 77.469 | -6.264 | 0.91914 |
| JJ, two-tone | 51.847 | 77.469 | -25.622 | 0.66926 |
| JJ, monotone | 52.392 | 77.469 | -25.077 | 0.67630 |
| JJ, paired | 60.035 | 77.469 | -17.434 | 0.77496 |
| AKs, all flops | 45.961 | 67.045 | -21.084 | 0.68552 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 51.439 | 67.045 | -15.606 | 0.76723 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 28.795 | 67.045 | -38.250 | 0.42949 |
| AKs, two-tone | 48.153 | 67.045 | -18.892 | 0.71822 |
| AKs, monotone | 47.608 | 67.045 | -19.437 | 0.71009 |
| AKs, paired | 39.965 | 67.045 | -27.080 | 0.59609 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give JJ 54.21% when the hands overlap in a suit and 53.87% when they do not. JJ does better with a shared suit, by 0.34 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JJ wins | Ties | AKs wins | JJ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 53.975 | 0.462 | 45.563 | 54.206 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 53.682 | 0.379 | 45.939 | 53.871 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0015%) are JJ against AKs, and 48 (0.0030%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says JJ gets $108.08 of it on average and AKs gets $91.92.
A thousand deals look like this: JJ takes 538, AKs takes 458, 4 are ties.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, AKs against JJ, is 45.96% to 54.04%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
Try JsJh against AdKd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 24 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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