KQo
60.92%
Wins 60.58%, ties 0.69%
JTs
39.08%
Wins 38.73%, ties 0.69%
KQo against JTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQo | 60.578 | 0.686 | 38.736 | 60.921 |
| JTs | 38.736 | 0.686 | 60.578 | 39.079 |
The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.
A 21.84 point lead is real, and JTs still takes about 387 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.69% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, KQo is number 23 and JTs is number 45.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KQo | 49,789,000 | 564,000 | 31,837,000 |
| JTs | 31,837,000 | 564,000 | 49,789,000 |
The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQo | 1.559 | 1.651 | 2.582 | 0.641 |
| JTs | 0.641 | 2.582 | 1.651 | 1.559 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, KQo's equity runs from 59.22% on monotone flops up to 67.68% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). KQo stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | KQo wins | Ties | JTs wins | KQo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 60.182 | 0.262 | 39.556 | 60.313 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.770 | 67.211 | 0.935 | 31.854 | 67.678 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 59.281 | 0.396 | 40.323 | 59.479 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 57.990 | 2.464 | 39.546 | 59.222 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 62.431 | 1.402 | 36.167 | 63.132 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 61.46% for KQo, 57.53% for JTs. Here the change is -0.54 and -18.45 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQo, all flops | 60.921 | 61.456 | -0.535 | 0.99129 |
| KQo, rainbow, ten or higher | 60.313 | 61.456 | -1.143 | 0.98140 |
| KQo, rainbow, nine or lower | 67.678 | 61.456 | +6.222 | 1.10124 |
| KQo, two-tone | 59.479 | 61.456 | -1.977 | 0.96783 |
| KQo, monotone | 59.222 | 61.456 | -2.234 | 0.96365 |
| KQo, paired | 63.132 | 61.456 | +1.676 | 1.02727 |
| JTs, all flops | 39.079 | 57.528 | -18.449 | 0.67930 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 39.687 | 57.528 | -17.841 | 0.68987 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 32.322 | 57.528 | -25.206 | 0.56185 |
| JTs, two-tone | 40.521 | 57.528 | -17.007 | 0.70437 |
| JTs, monotone | 40.778 | 57.528 | -16.750 | 0.70884 |
| JTs, paired | 36.868 | 57.528 | -20.660 | 0.64087 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 61.59% for KQo with a shared suit and 60.26% without one. KQo does better with a shared suit, by 1.33 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KQo wins | Ties | JTs wins | KQo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 61.224 | 0.727 | 38.049 | 61.588 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 59.931 | 0.647 | 39.422 | 60.255 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 48 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0030%) are KQo against JTs, and 96 (0.0059%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says KQo gets $121.84 of it on average and JTs gets $78.16.
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 606 for KQo, 387 for JTs and 7 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, JTs against KQo, shows 39.08% for JTs and 60.92% for KQo. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try KsQh against JdTd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 48 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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