81.67%
Wins 81.47%, ties 0.40%
JTs
18.33%
Wins 18.13%, ties 0.40%
QQ against JTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81.469 | 0.402 | 18.129 | 81.670 | |
| JTs | 18.129 | 0.402 | 81.469 | 18.330 |
We compare a pocket pair with a suited hand. A pair against two lower cards is a lopsided matchup: the pair is ahead and the other hand has no overcard to catch.
That is a heavy lead: JTs needs the board to help it on most runouts and still falls behind far more often than not. The tie share is 0.40%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, QQ is number 3 and JTs is number 45.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33,480,000 | 165,000 | 7,450,000 | |
| JTs | 7,450,000 | 165,000 | 33,480,000 |
Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.456 | 1.227 | 5.516 | 0.224 | |
| JTs | 0.224 | 5.516 | 1.227 | 4.456 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
QQ prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 87.21%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 75.51%. QQ stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | QQ wins | Ties | JTs wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 82.181 | 0.134 | 17.685 | 82.248 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 86.743 | 0.935 | 12.322 | 87.210 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 79.647 | 0.306 | 20.047 | 79.800 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 74.311 | 2.395 | 23.294 | 75.509 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 85.200 | 0.177 | 14.623 | 85.288 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
A random hand would give QQ 79.93% and JTs 57.53%. Against each other the change is +1.74 points for QQ and -39.20 for JTs.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQ, all flops | 81.670 | 79.925 | +1.745 | 1.02183 |
| QQ, rainbow, ten or higher | 82.248 | 79.925 | +2.323 | 1.02906 |
| QQ, rainbow, nine or lower | 87.210 | 79.925 | +7.285 | 1.09115 |
| QQ, two-tone | 79.800 | 79.925 | -0.125 | 0.99844 |
| QQ, monotone | 75.509 | 79.925 | -4.416 | 0.94475 |
| QQ, paired | 85.288 | 79.925 | +5.363 | 1.06710 |
| JTs, all flops | 18.330 | 57.528 | -39.198 | 0.31863 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 17.752 | 57.528 | -39.776 | 0.30858 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 12.790 | 57.528 | -44.738 | 0.22233 |
| JTs, two-tone | 20.200 | 57.528 | -37.328 | 0.35113 |
| JTs, monotone | 24.491 | 57.528 | -33.037 | 0.42572 |
| JTs, paired | 14.712 | 57.528 | -42.816 | 0.25574 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give QQ 82.23% when the hands overlap in a suit and 81.12% when they do not. QQ does better with a shared suit, by 1.11 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QQ wins | Ties | JTs wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 82.004 | 0.442 | 17.554 | 82.225 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 80.934 | 0.361 | 18.705 | 81.115 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 24 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0015% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 48, or 0.0030%.
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, QQ's average share is $163.34 (a gain of $63.34) and JTs' is $36.66 (a loss of $63.34).
Think in thousands: about 815 of 1,000 go to QQ, about 181 go to JTs, and about 4 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, JTs against QQ, shows 18.33% for JTs and 81.67% for QQ. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try QsQh against JdTd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 24 specific deals of QQ against JTs, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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