TT
57.02%
Wins 56.83%, ties 0.38%
AJo
42.98%
Wins 42.79%, ties 0.38%
TT against AJo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 56.832 | 0.378 | 42.790 | 57.021 |
| AJo | 42.790 | 0.378 | 56.832 | 42.979 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against an offsuit hand. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.
A 14.04 point lead is real, and AJo still takes about 428 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.38% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
Place 5 of 169 belongs to TT and place 15 belongs to AJo in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 70,066,000 | 466,000 | 52,754,000 |
| AJo | 52,754,000 | 466,000 | 70,066,000 |
The board total is exact, 72 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 1.327 | 1.760 | 2.337 | 0.754 |
| AJo | 0.754 | 2.337 | 1.760 | 1.327 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: TT holds 74.55% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 50.15% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | AJo wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 50.079 | 0.139 | 49.782 | 50.149 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 74.068 | 0.963 | 24.969 | 74.549 |
| Two-tone | 46.485 | 55.686 | 0.331 | 43.983 | 55.852 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 51.940 | 1.712 | 46.348 | 52.796 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 62.695 | 0.164 | 37.141 | 62.777 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, TT holds 75.01% and AJo holds 63.56%. Facing each other changes that by -17.99 points for TT and -20.58 points for AJo.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 57.021 | 75.012 | -17.991 | 0.76016 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 50.149 | 75.012 | -24.863 | 0.66855 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 74.549 | 75.012 | -0.463 | 0.99383 |
| TT, two-tone | 55.852 | 75.012 | -19.160 | 0.74457 |
| TT, monotone | 52.796 | 75.012 | -22.216 | 0.70383 |
| TT, paired | 62.777 | 75.012 | -12.235 | 0.83689 |
| AJo, all flops | 42.979 | 63.563 | -20.584 | 0.67616 |
| AJo, rainbow, ten or higher | 49.851 | 63.563 | -13.712 | 0.78428 |
| AJo, rainbow, nine or lower | 25.451 | 63.563 | -38.112 | 0.40041 |
| AJo, two-tone | 44.148 | 63.563 | -19.415 | 0.69456 |
| AJo, monotone | 47.204 | 63.563 | -16.359 | 0.74263 |
| AJo, paired | 37.223 | 63.563 | -26.340 | 0.58561 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common TT has 56.94% equity, and with none in common it has 57.42%. TT does better with no shared suit, by 0.48 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | AJo wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 56.744 | 0.394 | 42.862 | 56.941 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 57.273 | 0.299 | 42.428 | 57.422 |
How often this matchup comes up
TT against AJo is made up of 72 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0044% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 144 counting both seat orders, 0.0089%.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. TT averages $114.04 from the $200, up $14.04; AJo averages $85.96, down $14.04.
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 568 for TT, 428 for AJo and 4 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
Swap the hands and you get AJo with 42.98% against TT with 57.02%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.
Keep exploring
Try TsTh against AdJc in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 72 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session